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Is Ford Motor (F) the New Tesla (TSLA)?

More than a year has passed since an announcement on April 26, 2022, by Ford Motor Company (F) CEO Jim Farley, regarding the company’s intent to challenge Tesla, Inc. (T) as the global EV leader.
Since then, the Detroit automaker has made huge strides in the electric mobility space. It has pipped TSLA to the pickup segment by beginning production of its F-150 Lightning and benchmarked the Model Y for its Mustang Mach-E crossover. While TSLA is still the runaway leader, F notched 61,575 fully-electric vehicle sales to emerge as the challenger in the U.S., something the legacy automaker planned to achieve by mid-decade.
Since both rivals are expected to battle it out for a greater share of the electric-mobility pie, it is understandable why an unexpected announcement by the CEO of both companies to join hands to enlarge the pie took the industry and markets by pleasant surprise.
On Thursday, May 25, during a live audio discussion on Twitter Spaces, Jim Farley and Elon Musk announced an agreement on charging initiatives for Ford’s current and future electric vehicles. Under the agreement, current Ford owners will be granted access to more than 12,000 Tesla Superchargers across the U.S. and Canada starting early next year.
Moreover, the next generation of Ford EVs, expected by mid-decade, will include TSLA’s charging plug, enabling owners to charge their vehicles at Tesla Superchargers without an adapter while using Ford’s software.A separate Ford spokesman later added that pricing for charging “will be competitive in the marketplace.” The companies will disclose further details closer to a launch date, anticipated in 2024.
Following this announcement, which makes F among the first automakers to explicitly tie into the TSLA network, the former’s stock rose by 6.2% on May 26, closing at $12.09 per share, while the latter’s shares also climbed by 4.7%, ending the week at $193.17.In this article, we elaborate on why the optimism makes sense.
Firstly, as F is ramping up its production to double its EV capacity this year and looks on course to get to two million in a couple of years, with public charging of electric vehicles being a major concern for potential buyers, charging infrastructure is going to be critical for the company in order to ensure that it delivers a superior after-purchase experience to its customers.
TSLA is the only automaker that has successfully built out its own network of fast chargers, which gives the EV leader an edge over its competitors, whose partnerships with third-party companies have left much room for improvement in reliability and reach.However, with the announcement, F has managed to more than double its existing capacity of 10,000 fast chargers with 12,000 well-located TSLA Superchargers. Moreover, leveraging TSLA’s superior NACS charging technology is F’s attempt to ensure that it is on what Elon Musk has described as “equal footing” in its completion with the incumbent.
Secondly, opening up 12,000 Superchargers in its network of currently 45,000 connectors worldwide at 4,947 Supercharger Stations could benefit TSLA in multiple ways.
White House officials announced in February that TSLA has committed to open up 7,500 of its charging stations by the end of 2024 to non-Tesla EV drivers. The agreement with F would help the company make progress on that front.
By diversifying from being a competitor to doubling up as an infrastructure provider, the EV leader has hedged its bets to benefit from the increasing presence of legacy automakers in the electric mobility space.
While the company is expected to dominate EV sales in the foreseeable future, the revenue from its Supercharging stations, which is included under the “services and other” segment, is also expected to witness remarkable growth due to increased network utilization by non-Tesla EV drivers.
Lastly, but perhaps most importantly, this partnership could be the initiation of the strategic masterstroke that impacts the entire EV ecosystem. As discussed earlier, while TSLA uses NACS charging technology, the rest of the industry has adopted relatively-slower CCS charging.
With two-leading EV manufacturers joining hands and F being ‘totally committed’ to a single U.S. charging protocol that includes the Tesla plug port, EV strategies of other auto manufacturers, such as GM and STLA, could come under increased pressure.
According to Jim Farley, the others “are going to have a big choice to make. Do they want to have fast charging for customers? Or do they want to stick to their standard and have less charging?”
In this context, it wouldn’t be surprising if Musk’s statement, “Working with Ford, and perhaps others, can make it the North American standard, I think that consumers will be all better for it,” turns out to be the beginning of yet another victory lap for the illustrious CEO.

Is Ford Motor (F) the New Tesla (TSLA)? Read More »

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Is Marvell Technology Inc. (MRVL) a Buy with the Latest AI Projection?

Just before the shares of NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA)got their moonshot post its earnings release on May 24, we discussed how the race to dominate the AI domain is gaining pace. In this article, we will look at another bus to that to which investors are rushing to hop on board: Marvell Technology, Inc. (MRVL).
While NVDA has clearly stolen the thunder over the past week by becoming the first semiconductor company to reach a trillion-dollar valuation, MRVL’s stock also hogged headlines. It surged by 32% after it surpassed top and bottom line estimates in the first quarter of fiscal year 2023, according to its May 25 earnings release.
However, given that the supplier of data infrastructure semiconductor solutions also witnessed 8.7% and 41.1% year-over-year declines in its quarterly revenue and non-GAAP net income to $1.32 billion and $264.2 million, respectively, it was not past performance, but the company’s bullishness regarding its future prospects that got reflected in the stock’s remarkable price action.
While informing analysts that the company had begun to reassess the “tremendous” business potential of AI, MRVL’s CEO Matthew Murphy said, “In the past, we considered AI to be one of many applications within cloud, but its importance and therefore the opportunity has increased dramatically.”MRVL’s favorable position to capitalize on the tailwind of increasing investments in AI originates in two acquisitions, which, in hindsight, have turned out to be key.
The first of them was a 2019 acquisition of Avera Semi, a spinout of Global Foundries, which contributed to MRVL’s custom chip designing and large-scale Application-Specific Integrated Circuit (ASIC) computing capabilities.
This was followed by a 2020 acquisition of Inphi, which had built a leading high-speed data interconnect platform uniquely suited to meet the insatiable demand for increased bandwidth and low power for both AI Clusters and traditional cloud infrastructure.
However, what was already a growing market share took a quantum leap late last year with the release of ChatGPT, which marked an inflection point for generative Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Large Language Models (LLMs).
With AI, if it isn’t already there, becoming a ubiquitous force majeure that’s touching and shaping every aspect of our modern lives, the traditional ratio of conventional processing through CPUs to accelerated computing through GPUs of 95% to 5% is destined to get inverted with the former component finding greater usage for control than execution.
Moreover, with the ever-increasing adoption of AI, the demand for increased computing power would drive demand for high-speed networking technology and optical productivity, which has been MRVL’s forte.
With triple levers of accelerated computing, data center usage, and high-speed networking to bank on, MRVL was able to quantify its revenue from AI during its recent earnings call. According to a note from Citi’s Atif Malik, “In FY2023, MRVL estimated its AI revenue to be ~ $200 million, representing a strong uptick from FY22. The company expects AI sales to reach ~$400M+ in FY24 before doubling in FY25.”
Bottom Line
According to Bill Gates and a few notable others, we overestimate change in the short term and underestimate it in the long term.The company’s lack of meaningful share repurchases during the previous quarter, despite its clear visibility on stellar growth prospects, makes us wonder if the glowing outlook was a signal to investors or noise to mask top and bottom-line declines.
However, from the perspective of both the current business and the pipeline of opportunities, the substance behind the hype is undeniable.Hence, since we may be at the beginning of a 10-year cycle of AI-driven semiconductor growth, it could be wise for investors to load up on the stock once the current wave of excitement ebbs and there’s more valuation comfort to buy in for the long haul.

Is Marvell Technology Inc. (MRVL) a Buy with the Latest AI Projection? Read More »

Investors Alley by TIFIN

The Truth About Why Companies are Beating Earnings

There’s a dirty game Wall Street plays.  It’s been going on for ages so this isn’t something new. But it’s something many investors may not know about.  As you’ve seen, many companies recently are handily beating earnings estimates even while consumer sentiment is hitting lows.  What’s going on here?  Well, in my Thursday video, I’ll

The Truth About Why Companies are Beating Earnings Read More »

Stock News by TIFIN

Is Coca-Cola Company (KO) a Buy for June?

Amid the possibility of a recession, judicious investors seek reliable investment options that can weather the storm. To that end, The Coca-Cola Company (KO) is appealing, with its long-standing track record of stability and consistent dividend payments.  As one of the most recognized and trusted beverage companies worldwide, KO has maintained a remarkable 60-year streak

Is Coca-Cola Company (KO) a Buy for June? Read More »

Wealthpop

This Is The #1 Rule For Long-Term Success In Options Trading

Ask any old trader whose enjoyed any level of success, what’s the secret to their longevity and it will most likely be some variation of the ‘R’ word… Risk.
You can employ any combination of strategies and methodologies, but without them being joined at the hip, neigh ruled, by a strict set of risk management tools, failure is already a forgone conclusion.
One of the easiest ways to do that is to use the “R” method, which was developed by Brian Lund.
For Lund, “r” represents a fixed dollar amount, which represents both the risk and reward you’re willing to accept on each trade. This will properly allocate individual position size within your overall trading account, as well as how much of that trade your risking, or willing to lose.
It is best arrived at by using a percentage of your total trading capital. It allows you to size your position in relation to your risk level instead of in an arbitrary way.
For example, if you have $50,000 available in trading capital (cash not including margin), you might use one-quarter of one percent (.0025), or $125, as your “R” factor. Take that one step further, the total amount you are willing to risk per trade, such as 20% loss on that trade where you are using that $125. This means you are ultimately risking $25, just as an example of how risk management should work.
In the highly technical example below, (A) is a former support level that failed and now is a potential resistance level.
Price is trapped between (B) and (C) level, and you are looking to go long if it breaks back above (B).
You know that a reasonable stop-loss would be just below level (C), so you determine the price distance between your entry just above (B) and your stop just below (C).
Let’s say that this distance is 50 cents. You now take that distance and divide it by your “R” factor, which gives you a position size of 250 shares ($125 / .50 = 250).

You now know that if your trade fails and hits your stop-loss, the most you can lose is $125. The goal then becomes to only take trades where you have the best potential reward for the risk you’re putting up, ideally 1:3 (risk to reward).
In this same example, the resistance level of (A) is a reasonable target for a successful trade, so you determine the distance between your entry just above (B), to the target of (A). You then divide this number by your “R” factor to see if the trade is worth taking.
If the distance between (A) and (B) is $1.50 then you have a 1:3 risk/reward ratio and the trade is a good bet ($1.50 / .50 = 3).
The higher the risk/reward ratio you have on your trades, the fewer times you have to be right and still make money. One South African firm only won 30% of their trades, but was still wildly profitable, due to proper risk management.
As you can see, if you only take trades that have a 1:3 risk/reward ratio, you only need to be correct 50% of the time to have a 10R profit after ten trades.
Knowing how to use risk/return and position sizing allows you to make sure you are never overextended on a trade and ensures that you’ll always be able to return to fight another day.
Risk management is just one of the various trading topics I go over routinely with my students in the Options 360 trading community.
If you’ve been looking for world-class trading education, check out this short presentation to learn more about my trading methods and how joining the Options 360 community can help take you trading to the next level!

This Is The #1 Rule For Long-Term Success In Options Trading Read More »

Investors Alley by TIFIN

Get Paid 25% While You Wait for This Turnaround Plan to Work

The financial results for the Home Shopping and QVC television retail network’s owner have been, frankly, terrible for the last two years.

But the company is almost one year into its “Project Athens” turnaround plan, and if the plan is successful, one particular security could pay off very nicely…

Qurate Retail (QRTEA) owns and operates the two home shopping networks. Qurate was part of billionaire John Malone’s Liberty Media empire. In 2018, Liberty spun off its cable TV operations and other businesses, renaming the HSN/QVC business as Qurate Retail.

Qurate was hugely profitable, earning more than $2 billion in 2019. In 2020 the company paid a special dividend in the form of a new preferred stock, the Qurate Retail 8.0% Cumulative Redeemable Preferred (QRTEP). The preferred shares have a $100 par value and pay a $2.00 quarterly dividend. Uniquely, QRTEP had a mandatory redemption at par on March 15, 2021.

As the pandemic unfolded, Qurate ran into supply chain issues, worsened when its primary warehouse burned down. Profits almost completely dried up, with the company reporting losses for the last half of 2022 and the first quarter of 2023. The QRTEA value fell from above $12 in mid-2021 to below $1.00 today.

Even though it is a preferred stock, QRTEP went from trading steadily around par (actually up to $109) until October 2021 to declining along with the common stock shares. Over the last 18 months, QRTEP fell from over $100 to currently trading for about $35. From the stock prices of both shares, it looks like the market expects an eventual bankruptcy for Qurate.

In June 2022, the company announced a five-point turnaround plan dubbed “Project Athens.” The initiatives include (from the 2022 annual report):

Improve customer experience and grow relationships

Rigorously execute core processes

Lower cost to serve

Optimize the brand portfolio

Build new high-growth businesses anchored in strength

Since the start of Project Athens, the company has been working to strengthen its balance sheet. Property has been sold and leased back, debt paid down, and last week the company sold its Zulily online sales division and used the proceeds to reduce debt further.

Management’s stated goal is to return to profitability by the second half of 2023. If that goal is reached, the QRTEP share price will start to recover.

QRTEP shares offer a unique opportunity. The share price is $35 and the shares earn an $8.00 annual dividend, for a 23% current yield. The shares have a mandatory redemption for $100 in March 2031. If Qurate stays out of bankruptcy, a $35 investment now will return $160 in dividends and redemption value over 7.5 years. This is cash that must be paid if the company remains in business.

I am closely watching the quarterly results. QRTEP is on my Dividend Hunter recommended portfolio list. To see what other great income investments I’m looking at, take a look below.
Have you seen this market lately? It’s been chopping sideways for months… And according to legendary Hedge Fund Manager Stanley Druckenmiller, it could move sideways like this for the next 10 years… Meaning capital gains are DEAD… If you want any hope of increasing your wealth in a market like this, you need CASH… > >Click here to get the #1 cash income strategy for 2023.

Get Paid 25% While You Wait for This Turnaround Plan to Work Read More »

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Stocks to Keep an Eye on Following Memorial Weekend

Every year, on the last Monday of May, the United States honors its heroes who made the ultimate sacrifice while serving in the United States Armed Forces. And how does a nation celebrate its martyrs who fell defending the core principles of liberty, democracy, and free markets? You guessed it; by exercising the freedom to choose and lead the good life.
Moreover, with the long weekend coinciding with the onset of summer, most Americans look forward to spending time outdoors. And that can only mean one thing: increased consumption. Think camping, cookouts, weekend trips, and home improvement projects.
All that activity translates to increased expenditure for businesses in relevant categories. A few have historically witnessed boosted top-line performance and an uptrend in stock prices at this time of the year.
Moreover, with still enough pent-up demand from the pandemic to go by and a jump of 0.8% in spending in April, with personal consumption expenditure beating estimates to rise 0.4% for the month despite 10 consecutive interest-rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, history seems more than likely to rhyme, if not repeat itself.
Here are a few stocks that could benefit from the holiday tailwind.
Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)
The global e-mobility pioneer’s automotive segment includes the design, development, manufacturing, sales, and leasing of electric vehicles as well as sales of automotive regulatory credits.
Although the company has recently increased the price of the vehicles in the U.S., China, Canada, and Japan, they remain lower than at the start of the year due to several rounds of price cuts worldwide.
In the recent earnings call, TSLA’s maverick CEO Elon Musk signaled that the automaker will be targeting larger volumes of sales versus higher margins but said he expects the company “over time will be able to generate significant profit through autonomy.”
Moreover, since TSLA’s energy generation and storage segment includes the design, manufacture, installation, sales, and leasing of solar energy generation and energy storage products such as the Solar Roof and Powerwall, the stock could also be a home-improvement play this Memorial Day.
In 2022, TSLA’s price return during the fortnight around Memorial Day amounted to 4.3%, compared to 3.4% for the S&P 500.Visa Inc. (V)
Despite a slump in mortgage demand due to rising borrowing costs, total consumer debt hit a fresh new high in the first quarter of 2023, surpassing $17 trillion. Moreover, as consumers remain keen to give their mundane inflation worries a break during the first long summer weekend by splurging now to pay later, that figure is not coming down anytime soon.
The global payments technology company that connects consumers, merchants, financial institutions, businesses, strategic partners, and government entities to electronic payments is well-positioned to benefit from this tailwind.
Lowe’s Companies, Inc (LOW)
With new home purchases softening amid rising mortgage rates, home improvement projects will keep homeowners of an aging U.S. housing stock busier than usual this summer. Hence, with more than two-thirds of sales contributed by non-discretionary purchases, such as new appliances to replace broken ones, the home improvement retailer is best positioned to make a tailwind out of this turbulence.
In 2022, LOW’s price return during the fortnight around Memorial Day amounted to 4.9%, compared to 3.4% for the S&P 500.
Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE)
With the pandemic firmly in the rear-view mirror and consumers ever keener to redeem their pile of airline miles on other travel rewards on their credit cards through revenge travel, global online travel company EXPE is well-positioned to benefit from this pent-up demand.
In 2022, EXPE’s price return during the fortnight around Memorial Day amounted to 8.3%, compared to 3.4% for the S&P 500.
Camping World Holdings, Inc. (CWH)
For Americans who find the great outdoors and road trips more akin to their idea of freedom and the spirit of adventure, CWH sells recreational vehicles (RVs) and related products and services.
Through its two segments, Good Sam Services and Plans; and RV and Outdoor Retail, CWH offers extended vehicle service contracts; roadside assistance plans; property and casualty insurance programs; travel protection and planning; and RV and outdoor-related consumer shows. Moreover, it produces various monthly and annual RV-focused consumer magazines; and operates the Coast to Coast Club.

Stocks to Keep an Eye on Following Memorial Weekend Read More »

Wealthpop

Why This Could Be The Set Up Of The Week

Today’s stock, Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) is a great example of finding a stock that has relative weakness in a strong market. This is almost always a clear sign of a possible short play.
As you can see in the video, while the market has pressed higher and higher over these past several weeks, HLT has remained somewhat weak and in the best case, has just kind of consolidated. You may see higher highs on the chart as well, so this could lend some credence to the fact that the trend is still moving upward. However, this 135-140 area is worth a watch.
Any failure to hold this area should imply lower prices, at the very least, in the short term. Investors could use this area to gauge whether or not a larger sell off is in play. Now, to make things a bit more interesting, you’d want to see what this stock does compared to the overall market.
A relatively weak stock is highly susceptible to a reversal in the market. More importantly, is to see what this stock does if the rally continues. If the divergence continues, I would keep this stock on your watchlist for a possible short play.
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Learn to find these levels for yourself when you join The Profit Machine. There, you’ll learn all about my favorite stocks, setups, strategies, and plenty more. You’ll also be invited to weekly webinars where I answer questions and go over important trading lessons, like the one in today’s article. The best part, you’ll also receive live trade alerts. Not only will you get a world-class education, but you’ll earn while you learn.

Get a jump start on your options education and put yourself in position to win in 2023. Sign up today! Until then…
Good Luck With Your Trading!
Christian Tharp, CMT

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Stock News by TIFIN

A Look Into Clover Health (CLOV) and Humana (HUM): Are They Worth Investing In?

The medical sector is expanding due to increased health awareness, an aging population, and technological developments. Furthermore, the healthcare industry is relatively resistant to economic turbulence. So, investors looking for quality medical stocks can consider buying Humana Inc. (HUM). However, I think it could be wise to wait for a better entry point in Clover

A Look Into Clover Health (CLOV) and Humana (HUM): Are They Worth Investing In? Read More »