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Stock News by TIFIN

Top 3 Metal Stocks Poised for Breakthroughs

NGLOY: Top 3 Metal Stocks Poised for Breakthroughs The U.S. metal industry has witnessed significant growth and transformation over the years, driven by technological advancements, evolving market demands, and strategic investments. We assess Valmont Industries, Inc. (VMI), Anglo American plc (NGLOY), and CompoSecure, Inc. (CMPO) as appropriate metal stocks to invest in to capitalize on […]

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Stock News by TIFIN

3 Chip Stocks to Buy With Strong Market Performance

The semiconductor industry is set for significant expansion thanks to heightened chip utilization in cutting-edge technologies, automotive, and healthcare domains. Artificial intelligence (AI), the Internet of Things (IoT), and 5G networks all need specialized chips. Given this backdrop, chip stocks Trio-Tech International (TRT), ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. (ASX), and United Microelectronics Corporation (UMC), which

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Investors Alley by TIFIN

The Long Slog to REIT Recovery is Starting Now

Real estate investment trust (REIT) values are inversely sensitive to rising interest rates. With the Federal Reserve starting the most rapid rate increase trajectory in history two years ago, REIT values have fallen by about 35% over the same two years.

With interest rates likely to stay higher for longer, what are the prospects for REIT investing?

From April 2022 until July 2023, the Fed increased its Fed Funds Target rate from 0.25% to 5.25%. The rate has not changed since July of last year.

How do the recent changes (or lack of changes) in interest rates affect commercial real estate and REITs?

A central point to remember is that changes in commercial real estate happen very slowly. Mortgages go on for five to ten years. Leases are multi-year contracts. Property values are not always apparent until there is a sale.

Higher interest rates hurt REITs when they must refinance debt or mortgages. A REIT will have laddered maturities, so the adverse effects of higher rates will show up over time, meaning several years.

The remote work trend has led to fewer and fewer workers going to the office. The effects of this will happen slowly as long-term leases expire and companies look for smaller spaces to fit a smaller office workforce. Office sector REITs face some serious challenges over the next few years.

As I noted, the Fed stopped increasing interest rates in July. Those rates are much higher now than two years ago, and, as I hope I have conveyed, it will take REITs several years to adjust to the new interest rate environment.

The Fed is expected to start lowering rates later this year, but the cuts will be minor compared to the magnitude of the recent increases. The Fed Funds rate will likely be around 4% by the end of the year. That’s still much higher than the near-zero percent in effect a few years ago.

REITs will adjust. Borrowing costs will change. Lease rates will increase as leases (outside of office buildings) will increase. Property values (less office buildings) will increase. As we go through the rest of this year and next, REIT management teams will adjust their business operations to return to historic profit levels and growth profiles.

REIT share prices will lead a recovery in business results. Stock markets are forward-looking, and the prospect of lower interest rates will renew investor interest in real estate stocks. I expect REIT values to start the next upward move in the second half of this year. It may happen sooner, but it may take a little longer.

I don’t recommend trying to time the upcoming REIT bull market. Instead, you can accumulate shares of the Hoya Capital High Dividend Yield ETF (RIET) and earn a 10% yield with monthly dividends while you wait.

If you want to enjoy a new income stream instantly…You simply have to buy and hold THIS—it’s NOT a single stock or bond, and you don’t have to do any options trading—it’s a brand new way to enjoy yields as high as 26.2%…If you have $25,000, you’re set. That can turn into $11,162 per year by holding.Click here now to get in before the next payout

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Stock News by TIFIN

3 Energy Stocks Surging Towards Profitability

The energy industry is well-positioned for substantial growth this year as projections of a steady uptick in oil prices fueled by rising global demand and concerns over geopolitical tensions continuing in the Middle East, alongside production cuts by major oil producers and a gradual recovery of the Chinese economy, are expected to bolster the industry’s

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Stock News by TIFIN

3 Financial Stocks Delivering Exciting Returns

Advancements in technology, like AI, blockchain, cloud, and data analytics, have transformed the way financial services are delivered. These technologies enable faster transactions, personalized services, and risk management. Moreover, consumers are increasingly adopting digital channels for banking, payments, investments, and insurance. Given the industry’s bright prospects, fundamentally sound consumer finance stocks LendingTree, Inc. (TREE), PayPal

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INO.com by TIFIN

Google’s AI Debacle: A Red Flag for Investors Eyeing Sell Signals?

Since the debut of OpenAI’s ChatGPT in November 2022, numerous tech companies have been swiftly advancing to develop comparable, if not superior, versions of such conversational AI models. Among them, tech titan Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) has emerged as a prominent player.
Utilizing its extensive resources and employing top-tier talent to explore the frontiers of AI capabilities, GOOGL unveiled its largest and most capable AI model, Gemini (formerly known as Bard), in December last year.
This expansive language model consists of three variants: Gemini Ultra, representing its largest and most proficient category; Gemini Pro, designed to address a wide range of tasks across various scales; and Gemini Nano, tailored for specific functionalities and compatibility with mobile devices.
GOOGL’s CEO Sundar Pichai said this new era of models signifies one of the company’s most significant science and engineering endeavors. He expressed genuine excitement about the future and the opportunities Gemini will bring to individuals worldwide.
However, despite the CEO’s enthusiasm, Gemini failed to garner the same level of traction as ChatGPT. According to web analytics company Similarweb, Gemini currently ranks as the third most popular AI chatbot, trailing significantly behind ChatGPT in terms of traffic.
To make matters worse, Gemini has encountered multiple controversies over the last month, resulting in a notable downturn for GOOGL. According to the Gemini chatbot, one should never misgender a person, even if it could prevent a nuclear apocalypse.
This stance was revealed in response to a hypothetical question posed by a popular social media account, which asked if misgendering Caitlyn Jenner, a prominent transgender woman, could prevent such a catastrophe. Gemini’s “woke” response to the post received major criticism from social media users.
Additionally, the controversy surrounding Google’s Gemini intensified as its image-generating platform was slammed for producing racially inaccurate depictions of historical figures, occasionally substituting images of White individuals with those of Black, Native American, and Asian descent.
Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) CEO Elon Musk expressed concern over these “woke” responses, particularly emphasizing the widespread integration of Gemini across GOOGL’s products and YouTube.
Musk tweeted about a conversation with a senior GOOGL executive, who informed him it would take a few months to address the issue, contrary to earlier expectations of a quicker resolution.
While GOOGL has issued several apologies and halted the use of Gemini’s image-generating platform, a former GOOGL executive disclosed that investors are expressing profound frustration as the scandal involving the Gemini model evolves into a tangible threat to the tech company.
On the other hand, CEO Sundar Pichai reassured stakeholders, affirming that the company is actively working “around the clock” to address the issues with the AI model. Pichai condemned the generated images as “biased” and “completely unacceptable.”
Furthermore, GOOGL recently introduced an update to Gemini that allows users to modify inaccurate responses and provides them with increased control over the platform. Reportedly, GOOGL experienced a loss of approximately $90 billion in market value last month, fueled by the controversy surrounding Gemini.
Also, GOOGL made history as the first company to face a hefty fine for its AI training methods. French regulators imposed a penalty of approximately $270 million on the tech giant. The regulatory authority stated that the company breached a pledge by using content from news outlets in France to train its generative AI model, Gemini.
Bottom Line
As GOOGL grapples with the fallout from Gemini-related controversies, its reputation among investors has taken a significant blow. The company’s AI chatbot faced enhanced backlash from individuals and prominent public figures such as Elon Musk.
Sergey Brin, the co-founder of GOOGL, acknowledged Gemini’s historical inaccuracies and questionable responses. He stated that Google “definitely messed up on the image generation” and attributed the issue to insufficient testing.
However, he highlighted that GOOGL is not alone in grappling with challenges. Various AI tools, including ChatGPT and Elon Musk’s Grok services, struggle to generate accurate results. He noted that these tools sometimes produce peculiar responses that may seem politically skewed.
Despite these challenges, Brin maintains confidence in GOOGL’s position, emphasizing his belief in the tech company’s capabilities to adapt and innovate its business models.
Furthermore, GOOGL continues to lead the way in the field of AI. Talks between GOOGL and Apple Inc. (AAPL) about integrating Gemini’s generative AI technology with iPhones have sparked a significant surge in the stock prices of both companies.
A partnership with AAPL would give GOOGL and Gemini a reassuring vote of confidence, particularly given the recent controversies surrounding its “woke” chatbot and the generation of inaccurate images.
Wedbush analyst Scott Devitt sees the potential deal as a validation moment for GOOGL’s generative AI positioning. The firm rates GOOGL “outperform” and has a 12-month price target of $160. Devitt emphasized that this collaboration represents a significant opportunity for GOOGL to integrate into the AAPL ecosystem.
In conclusion, while GOOGL faces challenges and scrutiny due to controversies surrounding Gemini, the company continues demonstrating determination to adapt and thrive.
Furthermore, talks with AAPL regarding the potential integration of Gemini’s technology signal promising opportunities for GOOGL and its generative AI model. Consequently, in light of this significant development, adopting an entirely bearish stance on GOOGL might not be prudent. Thus, investors could closely monitor the stock for potential gains.

Google’s AI Debacle: A Red Flag for Investors Eyeing Sell Signals? Read More »

Investors Alley by TIFIN

The Most Intriguing ETF I’ve Ever Seen

The timing of the launch of our new ETF Income Edge service was very fortunate—I see newly announced ETFs in this category hit my inbox almost daily, usually two or three at a time. We research, review, and recommend ETFs that use options strategies to boost yields or returns.

Many of these funds, especially some of the single stock covered call ETFs, sport eye-popping yields. While distribution yields are not the whole story, they do give us a lot to talk about.

As it happens, the prospectus of a new fund hit my desk last week, and I can’t wait to see the distribution payouts from this one – I think you’ll be interested…

The YieldMax ETFs have become popular with their single stock funds covering the most popular large-cap stocks. These funds have distribution yields ranging from 20% to over 100%. Yes, the YieldMax NVDA Option Income Strategy ETF (NVDY) has a current quoted yield of 108.46%. Yields change monthly depending on the declared dividends.

Recently, YieldMax issued a couple of fund of funds using the individual stock funds:

These two funds have paid just one monthly dividend, so the track record is nonexistent.

The latest fund from YieldMax, the YieldMax Ultra Option Income Strategy ETF (ULTY), truly intrigues me. However, this fund has only been trading for a handful of days, so it’s far too early to get a good handle on whether the strategy will perform as expected.

The fund has a subadvisor that will screen stocks for implied volatility, trading volume, and liquidity. The subadvisor will select 15 to 30 stocks for a covered call option trading strategy.

The underlying stocks can be purchased directly, or indirectly with a synthetic long position with short at-the-money puts and long at-the-money calls.

Portfolio income will be earned from selling calls against the underlying stock positions.

High implied volatility means that call options will be more expensive. For a fund that sells calls, the greater premium levels should produce a higher dividend yield than the more traditional covered call ETFs. The yield could potentially be a lot higher.

Actual performance from ULTY will not be apparent for several months. The fund is using a unique stock screening strategy to potentially generate higher returns and yields. I will closely watch this one and provide the ETF Income Edge subscribers with regular updates. To see how to join and get my updates as soon as I get them, click below.

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INO.com by TIFIN

Bitcoin Halving: Marathon Digital’s $1 Billion War Chest Fuels Growth Plans

Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. (MARA), a prominent player in supporting and securing the Bitcoin ecosystem, boasts a solid financial position. As of February 29, 2024, it had nearly $1.5 billion in unrestricted cash and cash equivalents and bitcoin. This substantial financial firepower plays a crucial role in enabling the company to execute its expansion strategy with agility and effectiveness.
Acquisition of 200MW Bitcoin Mining Data Center
On March 15, 2024, MARA finalized a deal to purchase Applied Digital Corporation’s Bitcoin mining data center in Garden City, Texas. The data center, which has a capacity of 200 megawatts (MW), will be acquired for $87.3 million, translating to roughly $437,000 per megawatt. The acquisition will be funded entirely through cash reserves from Marathon’s balance sheet.
The Bitcoin mining data center in Garden City, Texas, is located adjacent to a wind farm and is predominantly powered by renewable energy. The site, constructed and energized in 2023 with a workforce of about 25 employees, currently converts around 100 megawatts (c. 4.5 exahash of miners) into economic value through Bitcoin mining.
With the acquisition of this data center, MARA will take direct ownership of its current on-site operations and plans to expand by another 100 megawatts in 2024, totaling 200 megawatts dedicated exclusively to its Bitcoin mining operations.
This move provides Marathon with secure ownership of its operations and expansion opportunities. It also anticipates a 20% reduction in the cost per coin of its current operations at the site. Subject to customary conditions, the transaction is set to close in the second quarter of 2024.
The recent transaction marks Marathon’s second significant acquisition of Bitcoin mining data centers in the past four months, further bolstering its self-owned and operated megawatts to 54% in its Bitcoin mining portfolio. Before the acquisition of its first two data centers, which closed in January, MARA’s Bitcoin mining portfolio included 584 megawatts, with 3% residing on sites directly owned and operated by the company.
With this strategic acquisition and the planned expansion of the site in 2024, Marathon’s Bitcoin mining portfolio is set to increase to 1.1 gigawatts, with 54% under its direct ownership and operation, all of which are diversified across eleven sites on three continents. As a result, MARA will directly own and operate more megawatts than it had in its entire Bitcoin mining portfolio in December 2023.
In January this year, MARA finalized the acquisition of two operational Bitcoin mining facilities in Texas and Nebraska from subsidiaries of Generate Capital, PBC. Under the deal, the company paid around $179 million in cash from its balance sheet for approximately 390 MW of mining capacity. It also terminated rival Hut 8 Corp’s (HUT) involvement in overseeing the facilities.
Preparations for the Bitcoin Halving
Marathon Digital’s timing in acquiring the Bitcoin mining data center, located next to a wind farm with a capacity of 200 MW, is strategic, coinciding with its preparations for the upcoming Bitcoin halving, which is expected around April 20. This event, slashing per-block rewards by half from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC, can strain smaller and less efficient miners with higher energy costs and limited capital access.
Miners with higher electricity costs or lower-efficiency machines “will have a difficult time mining profitably post-halving,” said Ethan Vera, Luxor Technology’s Chief Operating Officer. “Many companies are stuck in power contracts, or benefit from top line gross revenue and as such might continue to mine despite not being profitable. Companies’ balance sheets will determine how long they can survive doing that.”
MARA, an already leading player in the mining space, reported an energized self-mining hash rate of 28.7 exahashes per second (EH/s) at the end of February 2024.
During last month’s earnings call, Marathon executives said they would use its balance sheet, comprising roughly $1 billion worth of unrestricted cash and bitcoin, to approximately double its hash rate to 50 EH/s by the end of 2025. In 2024, the company plans to increase its hash rate to nearly 35 to 37 exahash.
Moreover, MARA is preparing aggressively for the next Bitcoin halving with plenty of cash in hand.
“We have the need for more capacity, we are reaching that limit now as we speak but we will continue to be acquisitive in this space,” Marathon’s chief executive, Fred Thiel, said in an interview on Bloomberg Television. “That has a direct impact on our cost to mine, which lowers our break-even point.”
Marathon Digital is enhancing its infrastructure and increasing the number of its mining devices to keep costs low after the halving event, which will significantly reduce its revenues. The company estimates that the break-even point, where revenue covers the cost of 1 BTC after halving, will be $43,000. 
Fred Thiel said, “By simple calculation, if the industry average breakeven point was previously around $23,000 per Bitcoin, it will now be around $43,000.” Thiel mentioned that some miners will lose their profitability, and perhaps some will have to consider discontinuing their mining activities.
The latest announced purchase is consistent with Marathon’s proactive approach of scaling up its operations before the upcoming bitcoin halving, slated in April, which aims to alleviate potential financial pressures and capitalize on the opportunities in the market.
MARA is not the only mining company preparing for the bitcoin halving. Companies like Riot Platforms, Inc. (RIOT) and CleanSpark, Inc. (CLSK) are also making substantial investments to increase their mining capacities. For instance, last month, Riot Platforms purchased 31,500 next-generation M60S miners from MicroBT for $97.40 million.
On the other hand, CleanSpark acquired three Bitcoin data centers in Mississippi, indicating a strategic move to bolster its mining infrastructure. Hut 8, led by CEO Asher Genoot, has outlined growth plans that focus on cost-effective scaling strategies.
Bottom Line
MARA, one of the largest U.S. bitcoin mining companies, reported outstanding financial and operational results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year ended December 31, 2023. For the full year, Bitcoin production rose 210% year over year to a record 12,852 BTC. The company’s revenues grew 229% from the prior year to $387.50 million in 2023.
Furthermore, Marathon’s net income grew to a record of $261.20 million, or $1.06 per share, from last year’s net loss of $694 million, or $6.12 per share. Also, its adjusted EBITDA improved to $419.90 million from a loss of $543.30 million in 2022.
Marathon Digital, with a combined balance of unrestricted cash and cash equivalents and bitcoin of nearly $1.5 billion as of February 29, continues to build liquidity on the balance sheet to capitalize on strategic opportunities, including industry consolidation. Recently, the company announced buying a 200 MW capacity Texas Bitcoin mining facility owned by Applied Digital for nearly $87 million in cash.
Along with taking direct ownership of its current operations at the site, the company added Marathon intends to grow its presence at the facility by 100 MW by the end of 2024. This planned purchase is consistent with MARA’s strategy to scale up its operations ahead of the next bitcoin halving event, slated for around April 20.
Also, in January, Marathon Digital closed the acquisition of two Bitcoin mining facilities in Texas and Nebraska from subsidiaries of Generate Capital, PBC. It paid around $179 million for 390 MW of capacity.
As the halving event is expected to put financial stress on companies in the mining sector, notably smaller, less-efficient miners with high energy costs and limited capital access, the recent mergers and acquisitions (M&A) emphasize MARA’s consistent efforts to mitigate potential challenges and capitalize on several opportunities in the market.
With MARA’s strong financial position enabling the company to execute its expansion strategy effectively, investors could consider buying this stock now.

Bitcoin Halving: Marathon Digital’s $1 Billion War Chest Fuels Growth Plans Read More »