×

It’s not goodbye, it’s hello Magnifi!

You are now leaving a Magnifi Communities’ website and are going to a website that is not operated by Magnifi Communities. This website is operated by Magnifi LLC, an SEC registered investment adviser affiliated with Magnifi Communities.

Magnifi Communities does not endorse this website, its sponsor, or any of the policies, activities, products, or services offered on the site. We are not responsible for the content or availability of linked site.

Take Me To Magnifi

Magnifi Communities

Stock News by TIFIN

Is Netflix (NFLX) a Quality Stock to Watch This Week?

Streaming giant Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) had ignored password sharing for many years. However, the company expanded its crackdown on password sharing to 103 countries and territories, alerting users that their accounts cannot be shared for free outside their households. It also stated that an extra fee of $8 per month would be charged for shared […]

Is Netflix (NFLX) a Quality Stock to Watch This Week? Read More »

Investors Alley by TIFIN

Are META’s Growth Days Behind It?

It seems like just yesterday—actually, it was October 2021—that Mark Zuckerberg announced Facebook would be rebranded as Meta Platforms (META).

Facebook was going all-in on the metaverse. Some wondered why. After all, the company’s stock was up 70% over the prior two years as the pandemic boosted social media businesses.

A Facebook face plant soon followed that announcement. Wall Street was suddenly worried about things that had been apparent for a while, such as slowing user growth, Apple’s (AAPL) new privacy rules, and the vast amounts of money being incinerated by Meta’s virtual reality division (the center of its metaverse dreams). All of this led to Meta’s stock plunging by 70% in the first nine months of 2022.

But over the last nine months, Meta’s fortunes completely turned on a dime—in fact, its stock has tripled! What happened, you ask?

Once again, the secret sauce was AI (artificial intelligence). Zuckerberg—having touted the wonders of the metaverse last year—is now riding the AI wave.

So, what’s next for Meta?

Meta: AI and Advertising

Meta has done a lot of cost-cutting recently. For instance, it has laid off about 25% of its workforce since November. But, it needs more than that in order to justify its price-to-earnings (p/e) multiple of 35 and its forward p/e of 25.

Meta needs to become a growth company again. And to do this, it is relying heavily on AI-driven enhancements to its core advertising business.

The capital expenditures needed to drive AI advancements (and the metaverse) are centered on the same thing: server and computing power.

Meta has been investing heavily on this front. Over the past two years, its CapEx totaled a cumulative $64 billion, up from $34 billion in the previous two years. The company has guided for CapEx spending in 2023 to be between $30 billion and $33 billion, and a large portion of the spending so far has been on graphics processing units (GPUs) to increase Meta’s AI capabilities. I wonder if Nvidia (NVDA) has sent Zuckerberg a thank you card?

Thanks to Apple’s privacy policy, Meta can no longer track users across the internet. So, to improve its advertising efficiency without the use of website tracking, Meta must use its own proprietary data. It has a lot of it, with billions of users interacting with a range of different content every day.

What Meta does now is bucketing users based on what they do on Instagram and Facebook. Then it sends them ads it thinks they are likely to interact with. This is the end result of Meta’s AI investments, which support the building of its Discovery Engine, which ranks posts regardless of where they come from (a bit like TikTok).

AI Is Helping

The early signs are that these investments into AI are paying off. In the first quarter of 2023, ad revenue rose 4% to $28 billion, the first year-on-year quarterly increase since the end of 2021. Meta appears to be retaking market share in a tough ad spend/macroeconomic landscape in the past 18 months.

Wall Street expects much more to come. In 2022, Meta had $50 billion in operating cash flow and—with its new AI capabilities—analyst consensus expects this to rise to $80 billion by 2026. Keep in mind that the company’s ability to produce strong cash flows has been at the forefront of its success over the past decade. Free cash flow per share growth over the five years to 2019 stood at an impressive 40% per year.

Over the next five years, analyst consensus puts that growth rate at 10%. Yes, that’s a big drop-off, but it is still a healthy level of expansion, considering free cash flow in 2022 stood at almost $20 billion.

Meta’s days of heady growth are likely gone…but so is the worst-case scenario spouted by bears.

I am growing more optimistic about the company’s initiatives in shifting toward a content-driven discovery platform, rather than having ads organized solely on users’ personal accounts, with a greater emphasis on shorter-form video (Reels) content.

Meta seems to have actually bolstered its competitive moat, and is still capable of churning out some growth. And it seems that TikTok’s competitive threat is receding, thanks in part to the U.S. government.

Let’s not forget that Meta has more users (nearly 3 billion monthly active users) and usage time than any other social network. That translates to it providing the largest audience and the most valuable data for social network online advertising.

Meta might not be a mega-high-growth stock anymore, but it is still worth buying as a resilient stock. Use any general stock market to start building a position.
In these “tough market” times, I’ve released my boldest strategy yet. It’s a way to generate hundreds of dollars in income in 48 hours. Sounds risky? I just pulled this off on a volatile regional bank because of how well it works.Check it out for free here.

Are META’s Growth Days Behind It? Read More »

INO.com by TIFIN

Stocks Set to Pop Off Following 4th of July

With the pandemic in the rearview mirror, Independence Day has taken on an entirely new significance for most Americans this time. Americans appear to have gone above and beyond to compensate for the years spent indoors by making the most of the (unofficially) long weekend with short trips, camping, cookouts, pool parties, and eating out.
The increased demand for, and consequently expenditure on, services and experiences is also evident in the recent employment data, with leisure and hospitality adding 208,000 positions out of the expectation-beating private sector employment increase of 278,000 for May. The sector was also a notable contributor to the increase of 339,000 in non-farm payrolls for the month.
In view of the above, leisure stocks could be the beneficiaries of the increased levels of outdoor activities around the nation’s Independence Day. In this context, the following stocks that could witness significant upsides in the near term could be worth watching.
The Walt Disney Company (DIS)
While the global entertainment giant has recently been in the news for its ongoing feud with Gov. Ron DeSantis, outside the political and legal arena, DIS is going through a significant transition under the leadership of its returned CEO, Robert A. Iger.In addition to the Disney Entertainment and the ESPN divisions, the rest of DIS’ businesses will be organized under the existing parks, experiences, and products division.
As a result, DIS reported significant growth at its theme parks during the fiscal second quarter, which saw a 17% increase in revenue to $7.7 billion, with around $5.5 billion contributed by theme-park locations. Moreover, its cruise business also saw an increase in passenger cruise days as guests spent more time and money visiting its parks, hotels, and cruises domestically and internationally during the quarter.
Domino’s Pizza, Inc. (DPZ)
The global pizza chain operates two distinct delivery and carryout service models within its stores. The company operates through three segments: U.S. stores; international franchises; and supply chain. In addition to company-owned and franchised stores across the United States, its network of franchised stores is spread in 90 international markets.
Given the increased outdoor activity, while delivery sales will stabilize, carryout sales are expected to grow in the next twelve months. In view of the widespread reversal of consumer behavior to pre-pandemic patterns, on June 20, DPZ launched its Pinpoint Delivery service nationwide that allows customers to receive a delivery almost anywhere, ranging from parks and baseball fields to beaches, without a standard address.
American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL)
Being one of the major air carriers, AAL is reaping the bounty of the surge in leisure travel during the first summer in three years in which the pandemic is not making headlines.
With enough pent-up demand from consumers ever keener to redeem their pile of airline miles and other travel rewards on their credit cards through revenge travel, it’s unsurprising that AAL has turned to bigger airplanes, even on shorter routes, to help ease airport congestion and find its way around pilot shortages.
As a result of this tailwind, AAL’s revenue surpassed the airline’s cost to help it report a $10 million profit during the first quarter of the fiscal year. Moreover, with fuel prices yet to rise significantly due to a stuttering recovery of the Chinese economy and Memorial Day travel topping 2019 levels, the operator has raised its adjusted earnings outlook for the second quarter.
Nathan’s Famous, Inc.
NATH operates in the food service industry as an owner of franchise restaurants under Nathan’s Famous brand name. The company also sells products bearing Nathan’s Famous trademarks through various distribution channels.
Driven by post-pandemic momentum, for the fiscal year that ended March 26, 2023, NATH’s revenues increased 13.8% year-over-year to $130.79 million. During the same period, the company’s income from operations increased by 15.3% year-over-year to $34.45 million, while its adjusted EBITDA grew 16.8% year-over-year to come in at $36.38 million. As a result, net income for the fiscal came in at $19.62 million, up 44.3% year-over-year.

Stocks Set to Pop Off Following 4th of July Read More »

Wealthpop

A Trip To The Bank May Be Needed After This Banking Trade

– ETF Watchlist –
As of this morning, after a key piece of inflation data dropped, the markets seemed to have resumed their move higher with the usual suspects leading the charge. However, even though tech is leading the way, we want to analyze a trade for a sector or industry that appears ready to follow closely behind.
It is an industry that has been battered ever since the banking crisis from earlier in the year. This drastic drop in prices has opened the door for investors to pile back in with alacrity. That industry is the regional banking area of the market. Let’s take a look.
SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE)
Although we admittedly won’t be doing much with this ETF until we get closer to 45, getting prepared for that move now can help you better execute on your plan when the time comes. Over the past three months, the ETF’s price has remained pretty congested around current levels, but if the stock can break through its resistance around 45, then the stock could be primed for a move higher.
A break of this level could come with a retest as investors try to figure out if this is the correct price or not. For traders, this could be a good point of entry, but notice, we aren’t trading on expectations of what we think is going to happen, we are simply making contingency plans should this price come back into play.
While we acknowledge this price is a long way off from where price trades at the time of this writing, near 41.50, if this market has shown us anything, it’s the ability to get to higher prices in a hurry. The market is still being led by the tech sector, but a rising tide may be enough to lift even financial boats. Be sure to mark 45 on your charts as a level we expect price to have a reaction, up or down.
[embedded content]
Join my Smart Trades options trading service today to see exactly how my students and I trade these types of scenarios! Smart Trades is where I teach my students how I trade options on some of the largest ETFs on the exchange. As you learn, you’ll get exclusive access to all my trades with notifications any time one is put on. Now, you can learn how many use this high-income skill to achieve financial freedom. Join today and as always…
Good Luck With Your Trading!
Christian Tharp, CMT

A Trip To The Bank May Be Needed After This Banking Trade Read More »

Wealthpop

3 Levels You Need To Know Before Trading Nvidia (NVDA)

One of the most traded stocks in the market due to it’s ability to make massive moves in short order, Nvidia (NVDA), has made it on our radar for today’s trade idea. NVDA has been on quite the impressive run as of recently, climbing over $200 in just a month or two. However, it also hit a snag this week with some news dropping that was less than favorable for the stock in the short term.
On Tuesday, the United States announced it’s considering new restrictions that would limit exports of AI chips to Chinese firms, like the chips NVDA produces and is projected to sell billions worth. This may not be the death blow to the chip maker, however, it has provided a bit of a speed bump to a stock that was racing higher on the back of the AI hype train.
However, for market participants, this is exactly the kind of catalyst you like to see because it adds more volatility to an already volatile stock. For traders, this means price movement, whether it’s to the upside or the downside. The beauty of trading is we can make money either way the stock goes, which is why we are watching three key levels in order to direct our trading.
The three levels in the video below illustrate a range of possibilities for what comes next with NVDA. There is no real telling what a stock like NVDA will do in the face of news like this. On the one hand, this could very well impact to their business, but on the other, the stock may just shrug this news off as investors pour into it at a “discounted” price.
The three levels to watch are 420, 400, and 375. To the upside, watch for 420 to be broken. If that happens the stock could be well on its way again with resistance not coming into play until around the previous high of around 440. To the downside, 400 should hold as a support level, however, if that is broken in a strong downside move, 375 is the last line of defense.
Make sure you keep this stock and these levels on your watchlist as the market looks to find some strength and resume on the path of a bull market.
[embedded content]
Learn to find these levels for yourself when you join The Profit Machine. There, you’ll learn all about my favorite stocks, setups, strategies, and plenty more. You’ll also be invited to weekly webinars where I answer questions and go over important trading lessons, like the one in today’s article. The best part, you’ll also receive live trade alerts. Not only will you get a world-class education, but you’ll earn while you learn.

Get a jump start on your options education and put yourself in position to win in 2023. Sign up today! Until then…
Good Luck With Your Trading!
Christian Tharp, CMT

3 Levels You Need To Know Before Trading Nvidia (NVDA) Read More »

INO.com by TIFIN

Mullen (MULN) Stock Has Been Dropped. What’s Next?

The struggles of Mullen Automotive, Inc. (MULN) to keep itself well-capitalized in a turbulent macroeconomic environment have been well-documented. As the company resorted to the issue of additional equity shares for infusion of fresh capital amid rising interest rates, its weighted average shares outstanding jumped from 17.47 million as of December 31, 2021, to 1.36 billion as of December 31, 2022.
As the fresh capital was being used to retire old debt that was getting more expensive to service, the consequent dilution of stake opened up a different can of worms for MULN. The electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer and distributor, yet to report revenue, witnessed a precipitous decline in its share price. The stock has plummeted 99.6% over the past year to its current range of just above 10 cents.
The stock performance makes for a grimmer read because this is after the announcement of a 1-for-25 reverse stock split that became effective on May 4, 2023, after a 180-day extension to the March 6 deadline from Nasdaq, to meet the $1 minimum bid price requirement for continued listing.
However, even the reverse stock split wasn’t enough to spare MULN’s blushes. With the company failing to meet the $1 minimum price on or 30 days preceding Russell 2000’s “rank day” on April 28, the index’s annual reconstitution became effective on June 23, leaving the embattled EV maker to fall by the wayside.
Faced with significant downward pressure due to outflows because the funds tracking the index must sell out of their stake in the company, and having until September 5 to regain compliance and remain listed on the exchange, the stock is apparently living on borrowed time caught between a rock and a hard place.
While MULN would need to proceed with another reverse stock split in its bid to regain compliance and tide over the current crisis, a look at its recent financial performance could give investors a clearer idea if a more enduring reversal of the fortunes of MULN is likely and whether it’s worth the wait.For the fiscal 2023 second quarter ending March 31, MULN’s losses from operations more than doubled to $67.89 million.
Although the company’s cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash for six months ended March 31, 2023, came in at $86.75 million, which is greater than its current market cap of $30.52 million, and its total assets and liabilities have increased and decreased, respectively, over the same period, dilution of capital structure seems to be the nagging and fundamental issue behind the stock’s decline.
MULN’s weighted average shares outstanding for three and six months ended March 31, 2023, came in at 82.41 million and 68.26 million, respectively, compared to 2.06 million and 1.39 million for the prior-year period.
Hence, despite MULN announcing a moratorium on new financings for the rest of the year followed by the exercise of the final investment option of $100 million by Series D holders, thereby assuring investors of the adequacy of operating capital for almost two years, resale of up to 2.33 billion shares to make that happen neutralizes the progress made.
Therefore, in a nutshell, it appears that in a bid to keep itself afloat and well-financed, the struggling EV maker is simply substituting debt with equity and ending up in the vicious circle of share devaluation and reverse stock splits as a result of this Faustian bargain.
Bottom line
In view of the above, investors who have stayed married to their positions in MULN through this turbulence could find two rules and a simple sentence on investing by the Oracle of Omaha, whose favorite holding period is forever, beneficial:
“Rule #1: Never lose money.
Rule #2: Never forget rule No. 1.
‘You don’t have to make it back the way you lost it.’

Mullen (MULN) Stock Has Been Dropped. What’s Next? Read More »

Stock News by TIFIN

3 Grocery Stocks With Great Stability in Them

Despite signs of cooling, inflation remains well above the Fed’s 2% target. Amid the potential for further rate hikes and an uncertain economic condition, seeking refuge in grocery retailer stocks could be wise. These stocks tend to perform steadily during economic downturns due to the inelastic demand for their products. Considering the recession-resistant nature of

3 Grocery Stocks With Great Stability in Them Read More »

Investors Alley by TIFIN

You Need to Hear What Meb Faber Has to Say About Investing Today

Today we’re going to talk about “shareholder yield” and other things that will help you be a better investor (read: make more money)…

We’ll cover value investing, diversification, foreign stocks, and more.

And I’m doing it all with fellow value-oriented quant, Meb Faber of Cambria Investments. I’ve known Meb for years, and believe me when I tell you, if you want to be a successful investor in the months and years to come, you want to hear what he has to say.

Let’s get to it…

Meb Faber is a co-founder and the Chief Investment Officer of Cambria Investment Management. He is the manager of Cambria’s ETFs and separate accounts, and also hosts The Meb Faber Show podcast in addition to having authored numerous white papers and leather-bound books.

He is a frequent speaker and writer on investment strategies and has been featured in Barron’s, The New York Times, and The New Yorker. Mr. Faber graduated from the University of Virginia with a double major in Engineering Science and Biology.

You Need to Hear What Meb Faber Has to Say About Investing Today Read More »

Wealthpop

How To Find Explosive Support And Resistance Levels: Roblox (RBLX)

We talk a lot about support and resistance in these articles and video breakdowns, but what are they exactly? Today, we are going to go into what they both are and some of my tricks for finding the most meaningful support and resistance levels. The best part, once you learn what they are and how to find them, you can take that with you for any stock you are analyzing for a potential trade.

Support

Think of support as your floor. If you were to bounce a ball off the floor, the ball is likely to bounce back. However, if you were to throw the ball hard enough at the floor, you are liable to break through. Support is a specific level at a certain price on the stock.
Support is also referred to as demand, it is what prevents a stock from falling. In a real demand zone, buyers do not let the price drop through this area. However, if buyers are overwhelmed by sellers, the stock can break through this level and fall rapidly. Demand is usually a zone or area, not a level like support.

Resistance

Resistance is the ceiling.
Resistance, also known as supply, is the level (or area when talking about supply) that provides resistance to the stock’s price from going any higher. Sellers step in at these levels or areas and prevent the price from rising any higher. Once buyers muster enough strength to overwhelm sellers, the price move to the upside can be drastic.

How to Identify Support and Resistance
As I say in the video below, there are any number of support and resistance levels on a stock at any given time, so how do you find the most meaningful levels and areas? Well, you start from the higher timeframes, the weekly or daily timeframes, then you work your way down to the smaller ones, one hour and the 15 minute.
This method is extremely important as many times, bigger timeframes reveal important, more explosive levels. The more times a stock’s price touches support/resistance, the more explosive a potential move becomes. This indicates pressure is building up to break through that level. Expect a drastic move when it finally does.
Support and Resistance Example: Roblox (RBLX)
As you can see on my chart in the video, there are any number of support and resistance levels on a stock at any given time, the trick is finding the most meaningful ones for where price is currently. In our Roblox (RBLX) example, we are using the daily timeframe to look for our meaningful levels and we find one, based on the price action of the last few weeks, at around the 42 mark.
We can see the resistance to the upside pretty clearly as price tried several times to break through this level, but failing each time. However, like we said, the more times this level is tested, the weaker it becomes where one good push to the upside could not only break through this level, but send the stock surging higher.
When in doubt, zoom out. That is what I tell my students. There will be too many false levels and zones if you look for major levels on the smaller timeframes. Why it helps to look for these levels and zones on the higher timeframes is because of the larger aggregation of time in each candle.
This gives you a summary of where the stock found support or resistance over a longer period of time, making spotting these levels easier. For our trade idea below, you can watch the market to see if it carries RBLX higher, bursting through this level to the upside. Keep this trade and these support and resistance insights handy the next time you are looking for a big trade.
[embedded content]
Learn to find these levels for yourself when you join The Profit Machine. There, you’ll learn all about my favorite stocks, setups, strategies, and plenty more. You’ll also be invited to weekly webinars where I answer questions and go over important trading lessons, like the one in today’s article. The best part, you’ll also receive live trade alerts. Not only will you get a world-class education, but you’ll earn while you learn.

Get a jump start on your options education and put yourself in position to win in 2023. Sign up today! Until then…
Good Luck With Your Trading!
Christian Tharp, CMT

How To Find Explosive Support And Resistance Levels: Roblox (RBLX) Read More »

INO.com by TIFIN

Apple Inc. (AAPL) Unbeatable Buy for 2024, Set to Skyrocket 37%?

According to a recent note from Fairlead Strategies, technology and consumer electronics giant Apple Inc. (AAPL) could witness a major upside in its stock. According to the agency, the stock has confirmed its breakout above the record high of $183. Consequently, its shares could jump to $254 by the end of 2024.
Given that this is one of those relatively-rare occasions in the world of investment research in which a forecast has been accompanied by a time horizon, in this piece, we evaluate the likelihood of this upside which could elevate iPhone maker’s market capitalization from its current levels of $2.96 trillion to $4 trillion.
AAPL has a lot going for it at this point in time. Its fiscal second-quarter earnings exceeded Street expectations, driven by stronger-than-expected iPhone sales.
The company, which has a history of revolutionizing products like the personal computer, smartphone, and tablet, has begun scripting the next key chapter in its success story with the announcement of its first product in the AR/VR market, the Apple Vision headset, which will sell for $3,499 when it is released early next year.
In addition, AAPL also announced its partnership with the game-development software maker Unity and unveiled a slew of other new products. Its year-ahead product roadmap includes the new Apple Watch Ultra along with the traditional fall launch lined up for the iPhone 15.The company is also reportedly beginning work on two new and bifurcated product lines, one second-generation high-end model that will be the continuation of the original Vision Pro and the other a lower-end version. It is also expected to ship new M3-powered laptops, and new OLED-screen iPads will ship by next year.
The Catch
With a strong product portfolio and a healthy pipeline, there seems to be little, if any, that can hinder AAPL’s progress from strength to strength. However, the company isn’t immune to macroeconomic headwinds.
AAPL reported $24.16 billion in net income during the quarter compared to $25.01 billion in the previous-year period. Moreover, sales have declined for two straight quarters, with total revenue down 3% from $97.28 billion in the prior quarter.
With macroeconomic challenges in digital advertising and mobile gaming, part of AAPL’s services business, finance chief Luca Maestri said the company expects overall revenue in the current quarter to decline about 3%.
Hence, brand equity apart, AAPL is quite an expensive stock to own based on fundamental financial performance.Pros Outweigh Cons
Regardless of the near-term and temporary softness and slowdown, traditional valuation metrics seem inadequate to gauge the quality of a compounding machine such as AAPL, which boasts a sticky user base with a retention rate of over 90% that assures the company adequate cash flow through repeat purchases and upgrades.
Moreover, AAPL’s board authorized $90 billion in share repurchases and dividends. It spent $23 billion in buybacks and dividends in the March quarter and raised its dividend by 4% to 24 cents per share.
Through relentless share repurchases, the company increased the existing shareholders’ stake by decreasing its float.
By decreasing the number of outstanding shares, AAPL has been increasing the remaining shares’ intrinsic value (and consequently the price) without a proportional rise in market capitalization. AAPL’s current market cap is $2.96 trillion, with 15.79 billion shares outstanding, compared to a market cap of $2.97 trillion, with 16.33 billion shares outstanding as of January 3, 2022.
Bottomline
Given the above, if the Federal Reserve and other major central banks manage to engineer the much coveted ‘soft landing’ and all else remains (at least) equal, there is a significant likelihood that AAPL can achieve a record share price by the end of 2024.

Apple Inc. (AAPL) Unbeatable Buy for 2024, Set to Skyrocket 37%? Read More »