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Intel Backed Astera Labs Goes Public: What Investors Need to Know

In 2020, Intel Capital, the global investment arm of Intel Corporation (INTC), made a significant move by unveiling a momentous investment initiative of $132 million. This injection of funds fueled the growth of 11 cutting-edge technology startups, each driving innovation in Artificial Intelligence (AI), autonomous computing, and chip design.
Among these 11 disruptive startups, Astera Labs, Inc. emerged as a key player, ready to redefine connectivity solutions and spearhead transformative industry shifts. Established in 2017, Astera quickly made waves in the semiconductor realm with its state-of-the-art connectivity solutions tailored for AI and cloud applications.
Notably, last year, the chip startup made a significant announcement regarding its entire product portfolio. The company revealed that its products are now equipped to fast-track cloud-scale workloads with unprecedented scaling capabilities.
This development comes at a time when the global cloud AI market is projected to experience substantial growth. It is estimated to reach $647.61 billion by 2030, growing at an impressive CAGR of 39.6% from 2023 to 2030.
Astera’s innovative approach to data center connectivity, bridging accelerators, CPUs, GPUs, memory, and networking, is proving vital in supporting the expansion of cloud infrastructure for AI and data-driven applications at scale.
Thad Omura, SVP of Business and Corporate Development at Astera Labs, underscored the prowess of the company’s hardware-optimized PCIe, CXL, and Ethernet connectivity portfolio. He emphasized that these solutions have been meticulously crafted with a software-defined approach, enabling them to deliver unprecedented scale for AI infrastructure and cloud connectivity.
Moreover, encouraged by the prevailing AI frenzy, the chip startup recently announced its plans to transition into a publicly traded entity, set to trade under the ticker symbol “ALAB” on NASDAQ.
The company is gearing up to offer 17.80 million shares priced between $27 and $30 each, aiming to raise to $534 million. Following the completion of the deal, there will be 150.50 million outstanding shares, potentially valuing the company at $4.50 billion at the upper end of that range.
Morgan Stanley and J.P. Morgan have taken on the role of lead joint book runners for this Initial Public Offering (IPO). Additionally, Barclays, Deutsche Bank Securities, Evercore ISI, and Jefferies are also serving as book runners. Meanwhile, Needham & Company, Stifel, Craig-Hallum Capital Group, Roth Capital Partners, Loop Capital Markets, and Siebert Williams Shank have stepped in as co-managers.
The funds raised from this IPO will be allocated towards working capital and general corporate purposes, with the potential for utilization in acquisitions if suitable opportunities emerge. In a letter included in the filing papers, the three founders of Astera, Jitendra Mohan, Sanjay Gajendra, and Casey Morrison, share their unwavering commitment to the transformative power of AI.
The three founders kickstarted their venture in a garage. Their brainchild, Astera Labs, birthed three product families, each tackling crucial bottlenecks in AI infrastructure.
Aries, designed to enhance CPUs and GPUs, facilitates the scaling of data input/output bandwidth. Taurus focuses on providing AI servers with accelerated network bandwidth. Meanwhile, Leo enables the seamless scaling of memory bandwidth and capacity for CPUs and GPUs.
Astera projects its total addressable market (TAM) to skyrocket to nearly $27.40 billion by 2027, up from approximately $17.20 billion in 2023. In addition, the company boasts an impressive clientele, counting chip industry giants like INTC, NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), and Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD).
Riding the wave of strong chip demand, the company witnessed a solid year-over-year topline growth in fiscal year 2023. In its Form S-1 filing, Astera reported revenue of $115.79 million, marking a robust 44.9% year-over-year growth. The company also saw a notable uptick in its gross profit, climbing to $79.83 million from $58.68 million the previous year.
On the other hand, as a result of making substantial investments in the design and development of new products and platform enhancements, the company remains unprofitable in 2023, incurring a net loss of $26.26 million and $0.71 per share. Yet, this reflects an improvement compared to fiscal year 2022, where the net loss was $58.35 million and $1.71 per share.
Bottom Line
Astera Labs has positioned itself as a frontrunner in the semiconductor industry, driven by its innovative connectivity solutions tailored for AI and cloud applications.
Backed by a significant investment initiative from INTC and boasting impressive financial growth, the company’s transition into a publicly traded entity signifies its confidence in its products and growth potential.
Furthermore, Astera’s IPO announcement arrives amid a perfect storm of opportunity. With the demand for semiconductor chips, especially those powering AI applications, soaring to new heights, the stage is set for Astera’s ascent. For instance, NVDA’s stock has surged dramatically, seemingly unstoppable in its ascent.
Meanwhile, the shares of AMD and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (TSM) have also witnessed significant rises, reflecting the broader trend of robust demand for semiconductor chips.
That said, with a strategic focus on addressing critical bottlenecks in AI infrastructure and a solid client base, including industry giants, Astera is well-poised to capitalize on the booming demand for semiconductor chips. Despite remaining unprofitable in fiscal year 2023, the company’s continuous investments in product development reflect its commitment to unlocking AI’s full potential.
Moreover, the funds infusion from the IPO will provide Astera with a substantial financial boost, empowering the company to enhance its operational capabilities and drive strategic growth initiatives.
Overall, Astera’s IPO represents a significant milestone in its journey toward becoming a major player in the semiconductor landscape, with promising prospects for future growth and expansion. Keeping all these factors in mind, Astera emerges as a strong investment candidate.
 

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Will Rivian’s Surprise Announcement Paying off for RIVN Stockholders?

Rivian Automotive, Inc. (RIVN), renowned for its off-road-capable truck and SUV models, has recently announced two new midsize EV SUV lines, including one surprise launch. This strategic move aims to broaden market reach and boost sales figures, showcasing the EV startup’s ongoing innovation within the automotive industry.
The introduction of two midsize SUV product lines – the R2 and the R3 – marks a significant expansion of RIVN’s consumer offerings alongside its existing R1T and R1S models. Among these new offerings is the R3 midsize crossover, accompanied by its high-performance variant, the R3X.
Described as a “midsize SUV delivering a blend of performance, capability, and utility in a five-seat package optimized for both adventurous outings and daily use,” the R2 boasts a starting price of $45,000. Consumers can expect the R2 to become available within the first six months of 2026.
Meanwhile, the company has already opened reservations for U.S. customers interested in midsize SUVs, with Rivian’s CEO RJ Scaringe expressing enthusiasm for the response. “In less than 24 hours, we’ve received over 68,000 R2 reservations,” Scaringe noted, emphasizing the strong resonance of the R2, R3, and R3X with the community.
RIVN plans to prioritize the launch and rapid scaling of the R2 before commencing deliveries of the R3 and its performance variant. The phased approach aims to ensure a seamless introduction of each model. Additionally, upon its debut, the R3 will be priced lower than its midsize counterpart, while the R3X promises “even more dynamic abilities both on and off-road” compared to the R3.
Navigating a Challenging Landscape
RIVN is facing a pivotal moment following its recent product launches. The initial response has provided a much-needed boost to the EV manufacturer. Shares of RIVN have gained more than 17% over the past five days. However, it’s highly doubtful if the stock will manage to sustain this momentum as Rivian’s prospects appear uncertain.
Last month, RIVN disclosed disappointing fourth-quarter 2023 results and a bleak 2024 production guidance, alongside announcing a reduction of approximately 10% in its salaried workforce. Founder and CEO RJ Scaringe attributed these actions to the challenging macroeconomic environment, citing historically high-interest rates and geopolitical uncertainty.
RIVN, which employs a total of 16,700 individuals, declined to specify the number of salaried employees affected. The workforce reduction follows two prior instances where the company laid off 6% of its staff as part of its efforts to mitigate losses.
The expansion of electric vehicle sales has also slowed over the past year, with automakers attributing some of this deceleration to high-interest rates. Concurrently, Tesla, Inc.’s (TSLA) aggressive price cuts on its vehicles have exerted pressure on competitors. RIVN reported a fourth-quarter loss of $1.52 billion last year, compared to approximately $1.72 billion during the same period in 2022.
Elon Musk, CEO of TSLA, commented last month on RIVN’s product design, acknowledging its merit but emphasizing the challenge of achieving volume production with positive cash flow. Musk suggested that RIVN could face bankruptcy within six quarters without substantial cost reductions and stressed the necessity of “cutting costs massively” for the company’s survival.
Operational Realignment
RIVN’s latest announcement regarding the relocation of R2 production from a new Georgia facility to its existing plant in Illinois has stirred skepticism among investors. The decision, while touted as a cost-saving measure, raises concerns about the company’s ability to manage its operations effectively.
Given the company’s history of falling short on production targets at its Illinois site, doubts loom over its capability to meet future goals. The move to halt construction in Georgia and redirect production efforts underscores underlying challenges within the company’s operational framework.
Investors, already wary of the company’s cash burn rate and unmet expectations, could now face heightened uncertainty regarding its financial health and strategic direction. The abrupt shift in manufacturing plans may exacerbate apprehensions surrounding RIVN’s long-term viability in the competitive automotive market.
Investor Scrutiny
Pomerantz LLP has been investigating RIVN on behalf of its investors, focusing on potential securities fraud or other unlawful practices involving RIVN and certain executives. The probe aims to determine the veracity of allegations surrounding the company’s conduct.
RIVN’s fourth-quarter 2023 financial report highlighted significant disparities from analysts’ projections. The company disclosed its intention to produce 57,000 vehicle units in 2024, a figure notably lower than the anticipated 80,000 units.
These revelations may have far-reaching implications for RIVN and its stakeholders. Shareholders could experience negative impacts on their investments as confidence in the company’s financial health and management practices may erode. Moreover, RIVN’s market value may face downward pressure amid concerns about its operational performance and strategic decision-making.
The Road Ahead
RIVN’s fourth-quarter and full-year 2023 results, unveiled on February 21, showcased a robust revenue expansion of 167.4%. However, the company notably floundered in crucial aspects beyond financial metrics, signaling significant shortcomings despite meeting revenue expectations.
More alarmingly, the EV company’s 2024 production forecast of merely 57,000 vehicles fell below analysts’ predictions, hinting at subdued revenue growth prospects for the year ahead.
Also, it’s imperative to recognize that RIVN is likely to deplete a significant portion of its cash reserves as it scales up production, prepares for the rollout of the R2 vehicle lineup, notably the R2 midsize SUV aimed at the mass market, and absorbs consequent quarterly operational deficits.
Compounding the situation, the launch timeline for the R2 models, including a budget-friendly electric pickup variant, extends beyond the current year, delaying consumer availability until 2026. The protracted timeline, coupled with anticipated ongoing losses, underscores a prolonged path toward revitalizing growth for RIVN.
Furthermore, RIVN may find itself compelled to seek external funding once more before the arrival of the R2 lineup in 2026. The potential necessity underscores the company’s ongoing financial challenges and the imperative of securing additional capital to sustain its operations and strategic initiatives.
Bottom Line
RIVN’s strategic expansion with the recent announcement of new product launches could broaden the company’s market reach and boost its sales. However, despite the initial positive reception, the company could continue to face formidable challenges, including mounting losses, production delays, increasing cash burn, and fierce competition.
Therefore, until the EV company demonstrates sustainable profitability and operational stability, it could be wise to steer clear of RIVN.

Will Rivian’s Surprise Announcement Paying off for RIVN Stockholders? Read More »

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Buy Alert: Is Ford (F) Entering a New EV Era?

In recent years, the automotive industry has witnessed a seismic shift towards electric vehicles (EVs), fueled by both environmental concerns and technological advancements. One company that has been at the forefront of this transition is Ford Motor Company (F).
Traditionally known for its robust lineup of combustion engine vehicles, F’s foray into the EV market has been met with both skepticism and anticipation. However, recent developments suggest that F might be poised to make a significant impact in the EV space, potentially ushering in a new era for the iconic automaker.
Over the past few years, F has worked relentlessly to capture the EV market by launching several EV models. Beginning with the electrification of its most iconic products, the Mustang, F-150, and Transit, F rapidly ascended to become the second-largest EV brand in the U.S. by 2022.
Beyond simply providing zero-emission variants of its top-selling vehicles, the company is leveraging electrification to enhance the qualities that customers cherish most: performance, capability, and productivity. F’s strategy for electrification serves as a cornerstone in the company’s broader mission to achieve worldwide carbon neutrality by the year 2050.
In addition, in 2022, the company bifurcated its EV and traditional business into two distinct units, providing investors with greater transparency into its operations. The EV division was branded as “Ford Model e,” while the conventional operation retained the name “Ford Blue.”
However, despite F’s ambitious visions, the company’s EV division has grappled with major losses. In the fourth quarter of 2023, F’s EV division “Ford Model e” posted a $1.57 billion loss, more than doubling a loss of $631 million during the fourth quarter of 2022. Meanwhile, the company’s top-line and bottom-line figures for the same quarter topped Wall Street estimates.
While discussing the losses from its EV unit during the earnings call, F’s CEO Jim Farley highlighted a pivotal lesson learned. He noted that scaling EVs from 5,000 to 7,000 units per month and entering the early majority customer segment unveiled customers’ reluctance to pay a substantial premium for EVs.
However, in light of the significant losses incurred by its EV segment and customers’ unwillingness to pay premium prices, F’s teams are unwaveringly dedicated to prioritizing cost-effectiveness and efficiency in their EV products. This strategic focus is aimed at competing effectively with more affordable models from Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) and Chinese automakers.
Farley further added that F is reconsidering its strategies regarding EVs. The automaker had previously announced its intention to delay or reduce spending by $12 billion on all-electric vehicles. He emphasized that while F remains committed to the growth of EVs, widespread adoption among mass-market consumers is unlikely until the costs are comparable to traditional vehicles.
As F scales back and reassesses its EV business, it plans to focus more on the sales of hybrid vehicles, particularly trucks. The company anticipates a 40% increase in hybrid sales this year, having sold 133,743 hybrid vehicles in the U.S. in 2023.
Apart from F’s cost-cutting measures to make its EV models cheaper for its customers, the company has further taken significant measures to bolster its EV sales. A recent notable move involves tapping into TSLA’s Supercharger Network, enabling F car owners to conveniently charge their vehicles using TSLA’s North American Charging Standard (NACS) plug.
Furthermore, F is offering a complimentary charging adapter to owners of 2021 through 2024 F EV models until June 30, 2024. Following this deadline, customers can acquire the adapter from F for $230.
Also, the forthcoming generation of F EVs will come equipped with NACS plugs straight from the factory, ensuring seamless access to the TSLA Superchargers Network. CEO Farley emphasized that this initiative enhances the public charging experience, offering customers increased choice and playing a crucial role in F’s evolution as an EV brand.
On top of it, F announced its acquisition of Auto Motive Power (AMP), a startup specializing in electric charging technology and battery management software. This strategic move aims to overhaul F’s charging infrastructure and reduce the costs associated with its electric vehicles.
Analysts forecast for Ford’s first-quarter earnings reveal a mixed outlook, projecting a 21% year-over-drop in its EPS, reaching $0.56. The company’s revenue, on the other hand, is anticipated to increase 8.2% year-over-year to $42.28 billion.
Bottom Line
Despite the challenges being faced by its EV business, it’s crucial to acknowledge F’s significant advancements in the EV market. By prioritizing the enhancement of performance and productivity, F’s initiatives are in alignment with global carbon neutrality goals.
These strides underscore F’s steadfast commitment to innovation and sustainability within the automotive industry, highlighting resilience amidst the obstacles encountered in its EV segment.
Moreover, F’s proactive measures to enhance EV sales through price reductions and cost-saving initiatives are yielding tangible results, marking a promising trajectory for the company’s EV endeavors.
Following an 11% year-over-year decline in January EV sales, F witnessed a notable turnaround in February. In February, F delivered 6,368 electric vehicles, marking an impressive 80.8% increase compared to the previous year. Specifically, sales of its Mustang Mach-E model surged by 64.3% year-over-year, with 2,930 units sold in February.
Furthermore, by tapping into TSLA’s Supercharger Network, F is addressing a critical concern among EV owners regarding charging infrastructure, enhancing convenience and accessibility for its customers.
The National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) revealed that the United States has only reached 3.1% of its 2030 goal for DC fast chargers without the inclusion of the TSLA’s Supercharger Network. However, when factoring in the TSLA’s Supercharger Network, this figure rises to 9.1% of the nation’s target.
As highlighted by TSLA upon the official opening of the Supercharger Network to F’s electric vehicles, the network is expanding rapidly, with the addition of one new stall every hour. Considering the domination of TSLA’s Supercharger Network, the collaboration between TSLA and F could be a pivotal step in bolstering F’s EV sales.
Additionally, F’s strategic acquisition of AMP has demonstrated the company’s dedication to advancing charging technology and reducing costs associated with electric vehicles.
F also remains steadfast in its commitment to returning value to its shareholders through dividend distributions. On March 1, the company paid a quarterly dividend of $0.15 to its shareholders. The company’s annual dividend of $0.60 translates to a 4.85% yield on the prevailing price level, while its four-year average dividend yield is 4.83%.
Overall, F’s strategic initiatives and promising developments in the electric vehicle market could position the company for long-term success in the rapidly evolving EV landscape, enhancing its competitiveness and brand loyalty. To that end, investors could closely monitor this stock for potential gains.

Buy Alert: Is Ford (F) Entering a New EV Era? Read More »

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Forget NVDA, Buy This AI Stock Instead

Dell Technologies Inc. (DELL) is thriving amid the burgeoning artificial intelligence (AI) revolution, capitalizing on robust adoption. Following a stellar fiscal 2024 fourth-quarter earnings report, Dell’s stock hovers near record highs. Active participation in the AI landscape is propelling the company’s prospects, aligning with the prevailing industry momentum.
Last Friday, DELL’s stock witnessed a staggering 30% surge. Investors lauded the company’s AI-driven advancements and heightened demand for its offerings, driving the year-to-date surge to 54%.
The Texas-based tech firm reported fourth-quarter adjusted earnings per share of $2.20, surpassing analysts’ expectations of $1.72. Additionally, Dell’s revenue amounted to $22.32 billion, exceeding the projected $22.17 billion. Strong data center server sales for generative AI applications offset sluggish PC sales during the period.
During the quarter that ended February 2, 2024, DELL experienced a 10.9% year-over-year decline in revenue to $22.32 billion. However, the company’s net income surged 91.1% from the prior year’s period to $1.16 billion. Despite a 5.8% year-over-year decrease, its Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) contributed $9.33 billion to revenue.
AI-optimized servers emerged as the primary revenue driver, generating $4.86 billion, while storage revenue saw a significant 9.9% sequential rise, contributing $4.48 billion. Servers and networking remained pivotal, underscoring DELL’s strategic focus on AI-driven solutions and storage innovations.
Jeff Clarke, Vice Chairman and Chief Operating Officer of DELL, highlighted the company’s robust AI-optimized server momentum, citing a nearly 40% sequential increase in orders and a doubling backlog, reaching $2.9 billion by the end of the fiscal year.
Clarke said, “We’ve just started to touch the AI opportunities ahead of us, and we believe Dell is uniquely positioned with our broad portfolio to help customers build GenAI solutions that meet performance, cost and security requirements.”
Turning to cash inflows and the balance sheet, DELL reported a fourth-quarter cash inflow from operations of $1.50 billion, primarily fueled by profitability. The company ended the quarter with $9 billion in cash and investments, and it reached its core leverage target of 1.5x, exiting the fiscal year 2024.
During the quarter, the company repurchased 11.2 million shares of stock and paid a quarterly dividend of $0.37 per share. Furthermore, DELL announced a 20% hike in its annual dividend, now standing at $1.78 per share. The dividend increase surpasses the company’s long-term financial framework and underscores its confidence in the business trajectory and capacity to generate robust cash flow.
Strategic Business Advancements
DELL has been expanding its portfolio to meet diverse customer needs across clouds, on-premises, and at the edge. Enhancements to the Dell Generative AI Solutions portfolio include support for Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.’s (AMD) Instinct™ MI300X accelerator in PowerEdge XE9680 servers and a new DELL Validated Design for Generative AI with AMD ROCm™ powered AI frameworks.
New enterprise data storage advancements have also been introduced, with planned validation with the NVIDIA Corporation’s (NVDA) DGX SuperPOD AI infrastructure, facilitating swift access to data for AI workloads using DELL PowerScale systems.
Moreover, the company has unveiled plans for the broadest portfolio of commercial AI laptops and mobile workstations, integrating built-in AI acceleration with neural processing unit (NPU) technology. Additionally, new XPS systems boast NPU integration, enhancing performance, productivity, and collaboration.
Furthermore, DELL has forged a strategic partnership with Nokia Corporation (NOK), becoming its preferred infrastructure partner for Nokia AirFrame customers. The collaboration entails transitioning to DELL PowerEdge servers with comprehensive DELL global services and support.
A Comparative Analysis of DELL and NVDA’s Performance
Following its robust fiscal 2024 fourth-quarter results reported last Thursday, DELL’s stock has surged significantly, showcasing its dominance in AI offerings. The momentum stems from DELL’s utilization of NVDA’s AI-powered GPUs for its servers, aligning with the chip giant’s remarkable success.
DELL’s AI-optimized servers integrate graphics processing units (GPUs) from both NVDA and AMD. Clark noted that the heightened demand was across the H100, H800, H200, and MI300X, with the first three GPUs manufactured by NVDA and the last one by AMD.
This development is likely to please NVDA investors, given that the company also reported fourth fiscal quarter earnings surpassing Wall Street’s expectations for both earnings and sales. However, its CEO, Jensen Huang, has acknowledged investor concerns regarding the sustainability of this growth and sales level throughout the year.
Furthermore, NVDA’s data center revenue suffered due to recent U.S. constraints on exporting advanced AI semiconductors to China. NVDA’s CFO, Colette Kress, highlighted that despite enhancements in the supply of AI GPUs, shortages are still anticipated, particularly for the upcoming next-generation chip, dubbed B100, slated for shipment later this year.
Additionally, NVDA’s smaller ventures didn’t exhibit the same remarkable growth. Its automotive segment experienced a 4% decline, generating $281 million in sales, while its OEM and other businesses, encompassing crypto chips, saw a mere 7% increase to $90 million.
Moreover, NVIDIA’s valuation is deemed excessively high, positioning DELL as a more favorable investment choice at present.
In terms of forward P/E, DELL is trading at 26.78x, 29.5% lower than NVDA’s 37.96x. DELL’s forward EV/Sales of 1.12x is 94.1% lower compared to NVDA’s 18.91x. Additionally, DELL’s forward EV/EBITDA of 9.48x contrasts with NVDA’s 29.38x.
Reflecting the heightened demand and growing interest in enterprise AI, DELL’s stock has surged nearly 37% over the past month, outpacing NVDA’s gain of 24%. Furthermore, DELL has skyrocketed more than 155% over the past nine months, while NVDA has gained approximately 119% during the same period.
DELL’s Upbeat Fiscal 2025 Projections
DELL’s confidence in its fiscal year 2025 outlook stems from three pivotal trends: the escalating momentum in AI, notable enhancements in traditional servers, and the imminent refresh of the aging PC installed base. Against this backdrop, DELL anticipates fiscal 2025 revenue between $91 billion and $95 billion, with a midpoint of $93 billion, reflecting 5% growth, surpassing its long-term value creation framework.
The company anticipates ISG to surge in the mid-teens, driven by AI, with a resurgence in traditional servers and storage. CSG business is forecasted to expand in the low single digits for the year. The amalgamation of ISG and CSG is expected to grow by 8% at the midpoint, counterbalanced by a decline in other sectors.
For the first quarter of fiscal 2025, DELL projects revenue between $21 billion and $22 billion, centered around $21.5 billion, marking a 3% increase. The company anticipates ISG and CSG combined to grow by 5% at the midpoint, with ISG climbing in the mid-to-high teens.
Yvonne McGill, DELL’s CFO, said, “We have strong conviction in the growth of our TAM over the long term, and we are committed to delivering against our long-term financial framework with average annual revenue growth of 3% to 4%, diluted EPS growth of at least 8% and a net income-to-adjusted free cash flow conversion of 100% or better over time.”
She has also emphasized the commitment to returning 80% or more of the adjusted free cash flow to shareholders over the long term.
Bottom Line
DELL, renowned for its PC business, has garnered considerable attention due to increased demand for its resilient servers designed for AI workloads. The fourth-quarter results showcased an enduring interest in DELL’s AI offerings, spotlighting the Dell PowerEdge XE9680 as the fastest-ramping solution in the company’s history.
After DELL’s strong earnings report, analysts have voiced optimism and confidence in the stock’s performance. Morgan Stanley analysts, led by Erik W. Woodring, upheld a Top Pick rating for DELL stock, raising the 12-month target price from $100 to $128.
Additionally, Goldman Sachs analyst Michael Ng has expressed a favorable outlook, suggesting that DELL’s stock is poised to trade higher, buoyed by the stronger-than-expected AI server backlog and improved margins in the Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG). That bolsters the bank’s bullish stance on heightened earnings potential and sustained growth amidst robust AI demand.
Industry experts have also emphasized DELL’s position as a clear leader in the AI hardware and services market, citing the company’s ability to swiftly supply high-end server models with accelerators from various silicon providers. Dell’s competitive advantage positions it to capitalize on the early stages of the AI server opportunity, especially in the enterprise-focused market.
Expansion in AI servers will also drive growth in DELL’s storage business. With extensive training conducted using rich data sets, the company’s venture into enterprise territory presents a burgeoning storage opportunity. DELL has enhanced performance concerning latency-sensitive workloads, aligning with enterprise requirements as customers transition from training to inference.
In conclusion, DELL’s outstanding fourth-quarter performance and upbeat fiscal 2025 outlook, propelled by AI server momentum, have instilled investor confidence and received a commendation from analysts. Given NVDA’s slowing revenue growth, regulatory challenges, and alarming valuation, it could be wise to invest in fundamentally sound AI stock DELL instead.

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Is Energy Transfer (ET) a Buy Opportunity Amidst Acquisition Momentum?

As a merger frenzy sweeps across the U.S. oil industry, pipeline operators are seizing the opportunity to join the fray. Fueled by ambitions to enhance scale, optimize assets, and capitalize on lucrative export markets, they’re making their mark by jumping on the merger bandwagon.
Natural gas pipeline operator Energy Transfer LP’s (ET) recent merger and acquisition endeavors stand out as a shining example in this dynamic landscape. Commanding a market cap of approximately $49 billion, ET is a powerhouse in the energy industry, boasting one of the most extensive and diverse portfolios of assets in the U.S.
Owning and operating over 125,000 miles of pipelines and vital infrastructure, ET’s strategic footprint covers 44 states, tapping into every major U.S. production basin.
Despite its vast footprint, ET made significant moves last year, securing two major deals. It acquired Lotus Midstream for close to $1.50 billion and merged with Crestwood Equity Partners, a fellow Master Limited Partnership (MLP), in a deal worth $7.10 billion.
ET’s Co-CEO Tom Long, in the fourth-quarter conference call, conveyed the company’s steadfast belief in the rationale behind consolidation within the energy sector and indicated that the company will continue assessing potential opportunities for further consolidation.
That said, ET’s acquisition of Lotus Midstream’s Centurion Pipeline assets marks a pivotal expansion for the company, amplifying its presence in the thriving heart of the Permian Basin. This strategic move bolsters ET’s capacity for transporting and storing crude oil and elevates its connectivity across key markets. 
The Centurion assets, located across some of the most active areas of the Permian Basin, boast substantial gathering volumes from prominent producers, fortifying ET’s access to crucial downstream markets characterized by consistent demand. These assets serve as direct conduits to major hubs such as Cushing, Midland, Colorado City, Wink, and Crane, unlocking a network of unparalleled opportunities for ET to thrive and flourish.
Meanwhile, last year November, ET successfully completed its merger with Crestwood Equity Partners LP, solidifying its dominant position in the midstream sector. The transaction boosts ET’s distributable cash flow per unit, bringing in substantial cash flows from long-term contracts and acreage dedications.
In its fourth-quarter earnings release, the company emphasized the transformative impact of its merger with Crestwood, projecting an impressive $80 million in annual cost synergies by 2026, with an anticipated $65 million to be realized by 2024 alone.
These synergies, however, are just the tip of the iceberg, with further benefits expected to emerge from enhanced financial and commercial alignments in the near future. Moreover, during the fourth quarter, ET’s assets surged to unprecedented heights with the addition of new growth projects and acquisitions.
Notably, Natural Gas Liquids (NGL) fractionation volumes soared by a remarkable 16%, establishing a new record for ET. Similarly, NGL transportation volumes witnessed a substantial uptick of 10%, also setting a new benchmark.
Meanwhile, NGL exports experienced an impressive surge of over 13%, reflecting the company’s expanding global reach. Additionally, both crude oil transportation and terminal volumes witnessed substantial increases, soaring by 39% and 16%, respectively.
For the fiscal year 2024, the company expects its growth capital expenditures to range from $2.40 billion to $2.60 billion and maintenance capital expenditures are expected to be between $835 million and $865 million. The forecasted adjusted EBITDA for the same period is expected to hover somewhere between $14.50 billion and $14.80 billion.
Apart from mergers and acquisition endeavors, ET is dedicated to returning its unitholders’ value through quarterly distributions. The company’s annual dividend of $1.26 translates to an 8.58% yield on the prevailing price level, while its four-year average dividend yield is 10.24%. Its dividend payouts have grown at a CAGR of 10.8% over the past three years.
With a surge of roughly 14% over the past year, analysts on Wall Street are forecasting a potential increase in the stock’s value, estimating it to reach $18.22 within the next 12 months. This suggests a potential upside of 25.4%. The price target varies, ranging from a low of $15 to a high of $22.
Bottom Line
ET emerges as a formidable player in the energy industry, driven by its aggressive growth strategy and slew of acquisitions.
The company’s major deals, including the merger with Crestwood and the acquisition of Lotus Midstream’s Centurion Pipeline assets, demonstrate its commitment to expanding its footprint and enhancing its capabilities. Additionally, ET’s strong operational performance in the fourth quarter underscores its remarkable ability to capitalize on growth projects and acquisitions.
Moreover, the company’s attractive dividend yield, the potential for further acquisitions this year, analyst’s bullish forecasts for ET’s stock value, and its robust growth prospects all point toward promising opportunities for investors.
With these factors in mind, investors could closely monitor ET’s shares for potential gains in the future.

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PLTR Stock Surges 40% in 2024: Buy or Wait?

AI, the pinnacle of technological advancement, has emerged as a premier investment avenue, revolutionizing mundane tasks and business operations alike. Akin to King Midas, its touch is rendering prosperity, as reflected in the soaring stock performance of top AI chip and software enterprises.
Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) stands as a prime example, surging over 42% this year and a remarkable increase of more than 205% over the past year. The driving force behind the ascent extends beyond the prevailing currents of generative AI, encompassing factors such as stellar quarterly financial results that exceeded investor expectations.
A business’ capacity to generate substantial cash autonomously is pivotal. It liberates the enterprise from reliance on debt or additional stock offerings for growth. The self-sufficiency catalyzes several expansion opportunities, fostering resilience and agility in navigating market dynamics.
Considering this, in its fiscal fourth quarter that ended December 31, 2023, PLTR disclosed an operating cash flow of $301.17 million, up 282.4% year-over-year.
Expanding this metric could empower PLTR to bolster its operational investments or even contemplate acquisitions. Sustained growth in cash flow would signal robust health for the company, enticing risk-averse investors to its stock. The trajectory could fortify PLTR’s position and amplify its appeal in the market.
Additionally, PLRT’s AI prowess is garnering momentum through the implementation of “bootcamps.” These initiatives empower both new and existing clientele to advance high-impact AI applications rapidly. The success of Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP) “bootcamps” is amplifying PLTR’s potential market reach.
Having set a goal of executing 500 AIP bootcamps within a year back in October 2023, the company has already surpassed expectations by conducting 560 bootcamps involving 465 organizations. As per the company’s management, these bootcamps have significantly reduced sales cycles and accelerated customer acquisition.
In the fourth quarter of fiscal 2023, the company reported a doubling of new U.S. commercial deals exceeding $1 million compared to the year-ago value. Commercial revenue surged by 32% year-over-year to $284 million, whereas Government segment revenue increased by 11% year-over-year to $324 million.
While the Government segment remains the primary revenue driver, the Commercial segment exhibits significantly higher growth rates, underscoring robust momentum in this sector. The remarkable expansion is fueled by the success of its AI integration platform, highlighting its pivotal role in driving business growth.
In 2024, the company anticipates its U.S. commercial revenue to surpass $640 million, up roughly 40% from the previous year. CEO Alex Karp remains optimistic, citing “unrelenting” demand.
Future quarters will likely see investors closely monitoring the commercial revenue figure. Increases in this metric would signify successful conversion of bootcamp participants into clients, signaling the business’ efficacy in capitalizing on its initiatives and expanding its customer base.
Additionally, to bolster international Commercial revenue growth, PLTR has forged strategic partnerships. For instance, PLTR has collaborated with Fujitsu to broaden its presence in Japan, facilitating the deployment of AIP and data integration capabilities in a new geographic market.
Moreover, the company is diversifying into healthcare, retail, and financial services sectors via strategic partnerships to broaden its market presence. For instance, PLTR has teamed up with SOMPO Care, a prominent healthcare insurer in Japan, to provide real-time data solutions to nursing homes and elder care facilities.
Also, PLTR has been active in the energy sector for over a decade, aiding clients ranging from small operators to supermajors and national oil companies in navigating challenges and seizing opportunities across the value chain. This includes activities from production to distribution, as well as supporting efforts to reduce carbon emissions.
That said, on February 8, PLTR and Bapco Upstream, a wholly-owned subsidiary of Bapco Energies, unveiled a strategic, multi-year partnership. The collaboration aims to implement PLTR’s software, facilitating and expediting Bapco Upstream’s endeavors to advance the next generation of energy in the Kingdom of Bahrain.
Another metric bound to attract long-term investors is a robust profit margin. In the fourth quarter, PLTR recorded a net income of $96.91 million, equivalent to 15.9% of its total revenue. This marks a notable enhancement from the preceding quarter, where the profit margin stood at 13.2%.
Sustained growth in PLTR’s top line alongside a robust profit margin could lower its price-to-earnings ratio, rendering the stock a more appealing investment prospect in the future. The combination signifies a healthier financial position, potentially attracting more investors seeking value in the market.
Institutional investors are also evidently keen on PLTR shares, with 599 holders increasing their positions, totaling 118,615,063 shares. Additionally, 170 holders have initiated new positions, accumulating a total of 28,129,517 shares. The surge in institutional interest underscores growing confidence in the company’s potential.
Bottom Line
Delving into PLTR’s recent financial performance unveils various factors driving the sustained margin improvement. Notably, the expansion of the commercial sector, characterized by higher margin contracts compared to the government sector, emerges as a primary catalyst behind the margin expansion.
Furthermore, economies of scale and the company’s commitment to responsible growth have significantly contributed to margin enhancement. With a growing contribution to revenue from the Commercial segment, PLTR appears poised for further margin expansion, solidifying its position for sustained growth and profitability.
Presently, commercial revenue signifies a substantial growth avenue, with businesses embracing AIP and harnessing PLTR’s AI capabilities to leverage their data. Recent quarters’ performance underscores this potential, positioning the company to potentially achieve record-free cash flow in 2024, possibly driving an increase in the stock price.
Bloomberg Intelligence suggests that Generative AI could burgeon into a $1.3 trillion market by 2032. This colossal growth potential, coupled with substantial demand for PLTR’s offerings, rising sales, and profitability, underscores the company’s auspicious positioning for significant long-term growth.
Analysts project the company’s revenue and EPS to rise by 17.2% and 52.2% year-over-year to $615.52 million and $0.08, respectively, for the fiscal first quarter ending March 2024.
However, a significant factor deterring some investors from the stock presently is its sky-high valuation. In terms of forward non-GAAP P/E, PLTR is trading at 72.16x, which is higher than the industry average of 25.03x. Similarly, its forward EV/Sales and forward EV/EBITDA multiples of 18.25x and 56.58x, respectively, are also higher than the industry averages.
Thus, given PLTR’s lofty valuations, investors may opt to wait for a better entry point into PLTR.

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Key Metrics Investors Should Watch Ahead of BZFD’s Feb 28 Update

BuzzFeed, Inc. (BZFD) has enjoyed significant success as a digital media powerhouse, leveraging its content across various platforms, both owned and in partnership with others. However, the company’s trajectory appears to have shifted, signaling a departure from its former glory.
In recent years, digital publishers have been grappling with tough industry conditions, a sluggish advertising market, dwindling social media referrals, and the looming threat of Artificial Intelligence (AI). That said, BZFD stands as a prime example, embodying the hurdles faced by digital publishers amid these challenges.
The deterioration of BZFD’s digital empire has become increasingly prominent in the public eye in recent years, marked by multiple rounds of cost-cutting measures and workforce reductions through layoffs.
Following its Initial Public Offering (IPO) in 2021, BZFD witnessed a drastic decline in its share price. Moreover, last year April, BZFD made headlines by closing its prestigious news arm, BuzzFeed News, which once boasted extensive global coverage and a large team.
On top of it, the company’s third-quarter earnings revealed a sharp 29.3% year-over-year drop in its top line and reported a loss of $13.93 million. Its advertising revenue dipped 35.3% year-over-year to $32.59 million, while its revenue from content witnessed a 31.7% year-over-year decline, reaching $26.25 million.
Additionally, the time spent by the audience engaging with BZFD’s content across its owned and operated sites decreased 19% year-over-year, totaling 92 million hours. Meanwhile, during the same quarter, its adjusted EBITDA came in at $3.07 million versus an adjusted EBITDA loss of $2.40 million in the prior-year quarter. As of September 30, 2023, BZFD’s cash and cash equivalents stood at $42.47 million.
Nevertheless, despite the dimmed third-quarter performance, Jonah Peretti, BZFD’s Founder & CEO, emphasized that the company is poised for a year-over-year improvement in adjusted EBITDA for both the fourth quarter and the entire fiscal year. Peretti further highlighted BZFD’s commitment to safeguard its liquidity position by establishing a sustainable long-term model for content creation.
BFZD recently announced the closing of its sale of Complex to NTWRK and its plans to trim its remaining workforce by 16%. This news sparked significant investor enthusiasm, with BZFD’s share skyrocketing over 80% during pre-market trading last week Thursday.
BZFD completed the sale of Complex to NTWRK in a transaction valued at $108.60 million in cash. The agreement, inclusive of an extra $5.70 million designated for the utilization of BZFD’s New York offices and associated severance expenses, signifies a strategic pivot for the media entity and underscores its commitment to streamlining operations and prioritizing its flagship brands, namely BuzzFeed, HuffPost, First We Feast (including Hot Ones), and Tasty.
Furthermore, the company unveiled a strategic cost-cutting initiative featuring a planned workforce reduction of 16%. This bold move is projected to deliver around $23 million in annualized compensation cost savings.
The company’s restructuring details, scheduled to be shared on Wednesday, February 28, 2024, aim to trim centralized costs and drive the organization toward a leaner, more adaptable, and more profitable future. In addition, the cash proceeds generated from the sale of Complex have been designated for various financial strategies aimed at bolstering BZFD’s balance sheet and enhancing liquidity.
These strategies encompass redeeming $30.90 million of the company’s convertible notes maturing in 2026, fully repaying a $35.50 million revolving credit facility, funding the forthcoming strategic restructuring, and optimizing working capital.
The company expects its revenue for the fiscal fourth quarter to be between $73 million and $78 million, while adjusted EBITDA on a continuing operations basis is projected to be between $15 million and $20 million.
Bottom Line
BZFD has navigated a tumultuous period marked by significant setbacks and strategic modifications. Once celebrated as a digital media powerhouse, the company has faced declining revenues, workforce reductions, and a substantial drop in its share price following its IPO.
However, it might be premature to adopt an entirely bearish outlook on the company’s shares. BZFD’s recent developments, including the sale of Complex and restructuring plans, are a clear signal to investors that the company can make critical adjustments and enhance its business model for the betterment of the shareholders.
Additionally, BZFD’s focus on improving adjusted EBITDA and liquidity and implementing cost-cutting measures demonstrates a commitment to financial stability and future growth.
As BZFD moves forward with its restructuring plans and strategic initiatives, it aims to streamline operations, prioritize flagship brands, and bolster its financial position to adapt to evolving market dynamics and pursue long-term success. Furthermore, CEO Peretti anticipates that these changes will expedite BZFD’s integration of AI to foster innovation and introduce interactive content formats.
To that end, given the company’s restructuring details set to be disclosed on February 28, it might be advantageous for investors to monitor the stock and wait for a more favorable entry point.

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Decoding Pharma Stocks: Analyzing the Buy Potential of MDGL, MRK, and LLY

Despite the pharmaceutical industry’s reputation for resilience amid economic turbulence, investments in pharmaceutical companies have dipped below historical levels over the past two years.
However, rising U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approvals, the increasing number of chronic diseases, and robust demand for the latest innovative weight-loss drugs have heightened the industry’s allure among investors. In 2023, the FDA approved almost 50% more novel drugs compared to 2022, restoring approval rates to historical levels.  
Meanwhile, approvals for innovative therapies featuring an active ingredient or molecule not previously sanctioned increased to 55 in 2023, a rise from 37 in 2022 and 51 in 2021. Analysts and investors believe these improvements could potentially trigger increased investments in firms operating in the industry.
Furthermore, the huge demand for the industry’s latest groundbreaking weight loss drug could prove to be highly profitable for the industry in the forthcoming years. Goldman Sachs analysts project that the number of U.S. adults utilizing obesity medications will reach a staggering 15 million by the year 2030.
Given such robust demand, drug-manufacturing companies are racing to enter the lucrative market of widely sought-after weight loss drugs that could accrue a value of tens of billions within a decade.
Buoyed the bright industry prospects, during the fourth quarter of 2023, family offices representing billionaire Waltons and George Soros made their mark in the biotechnology sector, enticed by the growing appeal of drug developers among affluent investors.
Soros Fund Management capitalized on this trend by acquiring a new stake worth $19.20 million in Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) and also made a significant investment of $24.50 million in Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK). Meanwhile, the Walton Investment Team secured a $8.20 million position in Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (MDGL).
Therefore, let’s analyze why LLY, MRK, and MDGL could be potential buys.
Eli Lilly and Company (LLY)
Boasting a market cap of over $700 billion, pharma giant LLY has captured the spotlight, drawing attention from both retail and institutional investors alike. This fervor stems from the resounding success of its revolutionary weight-loss drugs, Mounjaro and Zepbound.  
Within a year of initiating treatment for obesity, 42.3% of individuals receiving tirzepatide, the key component in Mounjaro and Zepbound, experienced a weight loss of at least 15%. Responding to the high demand for these weight-loss medications, LLY launched its direct-to-consumer (DTC) platform named “LillyDirect” last month.
Through this website, individuals can directly order from the pharmaceutical company, including its weight-loss medication Zepbound, and access connections with telehealth companies for conditions like obesity.
Moreover, the company’s fourth-quarter performance revealed solid growth in both topline and bottom-line figures. Its total revenue reached $9.35 billion, reflecting a 28.1% year-over-year surge.
Notably, revenue from Mounjaro, LLY’s top-selling product, witnessed a staggering 689.9% year-over-year rise, underscoring the solid demand for the drug. Meanwhile, Zepbound, which was launched in November 2023, registered a revenue of $175.80 million.
In light of the overwhelming demand for its weight-loss pipeline, LLY’s market capitalization surged, surpassing that of Tesla, Inc. (TSLA), thereby solidifying its position among the top 10 most valuable companies in the S&P 500 Index.
The stock’s relentless success has sparked speculation among analysts about the possibility of it becoming the first biopharmaceutical company to reach a market value of $1 trillion.
Such considerable advances, along with the LLY’s addition to Soro Fund’s equity portfolio, signify a robust endorsement of confidence in the company.
Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK)
With a strong market cap of over $323 billion and a roughly 24% surge in its shares over the past three months, a global healthcare company, MRK offers a diverse range of human health pharmaceutical products spanning oncology, hospital acute care, immunology, neuroscience, virology, cardiovascular, and diabetes.
In its most recent earnings, the company’s top-selling cancer drug Keytruda generated a remarkable revenue of $6.61 billion, up 21% year-over-year, while its HPV vaccine Gardasil brought in an impressive $1.87 billion in revenue, reflecting a 27% year-over-year rise.
MRK’s Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Robert M. Davis, expressed immense satisfaction with the company’s performance throughout last year. He highlighted MRK’s significant reach, with its medicines impacting over 500 million people. Additionally, the company invested approximately $30 billion in research and development last year to drive forward the discovery and development of impactful innovations in collaboration with others.
With oncology as its primary focus, MRK recently announced its decision to acquire Harpoon Therapeutics, Inc. for an approximate total equity value of $680 million. This strategic move is anticipated to complement MRK’s existing portfolio and drive forward innovative scientific breakthroughs to serve individuals better worldwide battling cancer.
On top of it, the company is actively exploring avenues to diversify its product portfolio and could possibly venture into the burgeoning market of weight-loss drugs.
Its experimental GLP-1 drugs, initially developed to treat non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, have shown unforeseen indications of weight loss. Alongside targeting weight loss, the pharmaceutical company is also pursuing therapies that provide benefits for diabetes and other disorders.
Soros Fund’s investment in MRK could bolster the pharma company’s growth strategies and R&D initiative. The investment signals its confidence in MRK’s performance and prospects. Furthermore, MRK’s exceptional track record of dividend payouts may infuse more investor confidence in its stock performance.
Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (MDGL)
MDGL is a pre-revenue clinical-stage pharmaceutical company developing novel drugs to address major unmet needs in cardiovascular, metabolic, and liver diseases. Over the past six months, the stock has jumped over 27%.
The company’s lead compound, resmetirom, is being advanced for non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), a liver disease that commonly affects people with metabolic diseases such as obesity and diabetes, and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD).
 
MDGL’s positive findings from the Phase 3 MAESTRO-NASH trial last year November demonstrate the potential effectiveness of resmetirom in treating NASH with liver fibrosis, addressing a critical unmet medical need. It is also close to being commercialized. These promising results could not only validate the company’s research and development efforts but also have the potential to bolster investor confidence.
MDGL’s latest quarterly report revealed losses of $98.74 million and $5.44 per share, while its research and development expenses rose 3.9% year-over-year. Nevertheless, analysts foresee the company experiencing a final loss in fiscal year 2024 before rebounding with positive profits of $57 million in fiscal year 2025.
Also, as of September 30, 2023, its cash and cash equivalents stood at $62.06 million. However, total operational costs outpaced this liquidity by reaching $263.32 million, of which a significant $201.71 million was research and development expenses.
The company’s financial capabilities may hinder certain research initiatives along with corresponding clinical expenses and curtail investment in commercial readiness. This could necessitate fundraising efforts to propel R&D or even propel commercialization strategies for its pharmaceutical product lines.
So, Walton Investment’s stake in MDGL serves as a strong endorsement of the pharma giant’s potential and growing portfolio. This move undoubtedly bolsters the standing of MDGL’s stocks in the market.
Bottom Line
Overall, the pharmaceutical industry remains dynamic, with companies deftly maneuvering evolving market trends and seizing opportunities for growth and innovations. Thus, investors could consider keeping an eye on the shares of LLY, MRK, and MDGL for potential gains.

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Is the Bitcoin Bull Run Over?

Bitcoin (BTC) prices recently surged above the $52,000 mark, pushing its market capitalization back over $1 trillion for the first time since December 2021. The rally in the prices of the flagship cryptocurrency is due to anticipation building around the impending ‘Bitcoin Halving’ in April this year and the sustained inflow of USD into spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
Primary Drivers Behind Bitcoin’s Price Increase
Spot bitcoin ETFs are driving BTC’s recent surge. In January 2024, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approved the listing and trading of 11 spot bitcoin exchange-traded product (ETP) shares after years of repeated rejections.
Bitcoin ETFs recorded another strong week, with net inflows exceeding $2.2 billion from February 12 to 16. As per Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas, the combined volume was higher than inflows received by any other among the 2,400 ETFs available in the U.S.
According to data from BitMEX Research, BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) received the most capital, accumulating positive flows of $1.6 billion over the last week. “$IBIT alone has taken in $5.2b YTD, which is 50% of BlackRock’s total net ETF flows, out of 417 ETFs,” stated Eric Balchunas.
Among the spot Bitcoin ETFs holding billions of dollars in assets, Fidelity Advantage Bitcoin ETF (FBTC) witnessed considerable inflows, amassing $648.5 million from February 12 to 16. The Ark 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB) gathered around $405 million in the same period, while the Bitwise Bitcoin ETP Trust (BITB) garnered $232.1 million in capital inflows.
However, outflows from the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) are hampering the combined performance of the other newly approved spot Bitcoin ETFs. Between February 12 and 16, the fund saw withdrawals of around $624 million. Since its conversion from an over-the-counter product to a spot ETF on January 10, Grayscale’s fund has witnessed more than $7 billion in capital outflows.
The other new ETFs are majorly driving Bitcoin’s recent price gains. The cryptocurrency is up approximately 91% in the past four months, ending on February 15.
Also, growing anticipation around a cryptic-sounding event known as “the halving,” which is to take place on April 19, 2024, is one of the primary drivers behind Bitcoin’s surge. The “halving” is a feature in Bitcoin’s protocol that automatically reduces the rate of Bitcoin production. Generally, it pushes the price of bitcoin higher.
The price rise of the world’s largest cryptocurrency was also buoyed by expectations of interest rate cuts later this year as inflation eases.
Google Trends Show a Decline in Bitcoin Interest
Recently, Bitcoin’s price jumped above the $52,000 mark; however, fascination with cryptocurrency seems to be diminishing. Google Trends data suggests a subdued level of interest, with the search term “bitcoin” scoring just 36 out of 100 in global metrics over the last 90 days.
That is a sharp contrast to the excitement seen about three years ago when Bitcoin first exceeded the $50,000 level, with Google Trends showing a score of 71 out of 100 for the search term “bitcoin” during that period.
Even with the introduction of spot bitcoin ETFs on January 11 this year, the search term “bitcoin” on Google Trends peaked at a score of 100. But since then, there has not been a significant surge in interest, with the search term “bitcoin” being steady at a score of 36 out of 100.
Despite high valuation, the declining fascination with bitcoin suggests a potential consolidation and maturation of the crypto market, where investors are more cautious in their approach or a shift in the public’s focus. While institutional investors have entered the scene, retail investors appear less engaged.
To regain the attention of the retail crowd, Bitcoin might need to surge to even greater heights.
Future Of Bitcoin Price Trajectory
The recent surge of Bitcoin to levels not witnessed in more than two years has sparked debate among analysts on the sustainability of the upward momentum. While some analysts expect this rise to be followed by a correction, others believe the bull run will continue.
According to Swissblock analysts, Bitcoin may signal a correction in the short term. Analysts wrote that the momentum of Bitcoin, which has paused at the key resistance mark of $52,000 following a recent rapid ascent of nearly 33% over the past few weeks, could indicate “a pullback” as they consider the increase potentially unsustainable.
Despite a short-term dip, Swissblock analysts added that any forthcoming pullback could be a buying opportunity if BTC holds its support near the $47,500 level. The report advises investors to consider any correction as a potential entry point for long-term positions.
Despite warnings of a potential correction, some analysts continue to be positive about Bitcoin’s future trajectory. 10x Research analysts expect a price target of $57,500 for the next surge, indicating that the uptrend in BTC could continue beyond the current resistance level.
10x Research analyst Markus Thielen has an optimistic outlook on Bitcoin, arguing that its solid liquidity and rising demand for Bitcoin futures could push its price to $57,500. He cited historical patterns before previous block reward halvings as supporting evidence for further upside potential.
In addition, institutional cryptocurrency exchange FalconX observed “extraordinary” trading volumes supporting the uptrend in early 2024, like those seen during the March 2024 regional banking crisis.
FalconX analysts also noted that historically low volumes after price increases have sometimes indicated false breakouts in crypto markets, but liquidity conditions around the January rally have generally remained strong.
Bottom Line
In January this year, the Securities and Exchange Commission finally approved 11 spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds to start listing and trading on U.S. exchanges. The growing success of U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs turned investor sentiment more optimistic, allowing Bitcoin to exceed the $52,000 level, marking the first time it has hit this price since late 2021.
Also, the value of all the bitcoin in circulation, or market cap, grew above $1 trillion after the price surge.
According to Nigel Green, Founder and CEO of deVere Group, the introduction of the spot Bitcoin ETFs provides a new avenue for institutional investors to cautiously enter the cryptocurrency market, representing a significant step toward broader adoption and acceptance.
“This approval by the financial regulator of the world’s largest economy is a landmark moment for bitcoin and the wider crypto market and boosts prices in the long-term, even if there’s a sell-off in the near-term,” said Green. “The approval of bitcoin ETFs represents a resounding institutional validation of the cryptocurrency, marking a departure from its initial reputation as a speculative and volatile asset.”
Further, Bitcoin prices are strengthened by the upcoming “halving,” the supply-restricting event written in Bitcoin’s code that occurs every four years and is set for April 2024.
The recent introduction of spot bitcoin ETFs signifies a major development in the integration of bitcoin into mainstream investment options, possibly attracting a wider array of investors beyond conventional crypto enthusiasts.
But the relatively muted response to bitcoin’s increased value, as indicated by Google Trends data, suggests that the crypto market might be transitioning into a more mature and consolidating phase, wherein investors exercise more caution and discernment.
The drastic shift in sentiment could point toward an evolving landscape for cryptocurrencies, where factors beyond price appreciation play a more substantial role in market dynamics and investor behavior.
Amid declining public interest, investors grappling with the decision to wait or sell bitcoin should consider their risk tolerance, investment horizon, and market outlook. Staying informed, implementing risk management techniques, and diversifying one’s portfolio can help navigate the dynamic cryptocurrency market.
Investors should stay abreast of cryptocurrency news, regulatory developments, and market sentiment, which can provide insights into future trends and potential catalysts for price movements. Also, it is advisable to keep an eye on institutional interest and adoption, which can help gauge the long-term potential of Bitcoin.

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Unraveling MSFT’s Market Dominance: Investor Strategies Amid Record Valuation

Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) achieved an exceptional milestone when it ended last week with a market capitalization of $3.125 trillion, becoming the world’s most valuable publicly traded company ever.
The tech company surpassed the previous record set by Apple Inc. (AAPL) when it reached a market cap of $3.09 trillion in July, as per Dow Jones Market Data. The iPhone marker ended Friday with a $2.916 trillion market cap.
MSFT’s stock has surged more than 28% over the past six months and nearly 52% over the past year, thanks to immense enthusiasm around its AI potential.
Microsoft Market Cap Milestone: Implications and Opportunities
MSFT’s historic market capitalization milestone holds significant implications for the technology sector, investors, and the global economy. To begin with, it underscores the rising dominance of large tech companies within the stock market and the broader economy.
As Microsoft becomes one of the world’s most valuable companies, it solidifies the technology sector’s influence and sheds light on the importance of innovation and digital transformation across several industries. The company’s growing investments in AI, cybersecurity, and sustainable technologies further contribute to global competitiveness and economic growth.
For investors, MSFT’s recent milestone signals opportunities for potential growth and value creation. It offers investors exposure to a diverse range of high-growth segments, such as AI, cloud computing, gaming, and productivity software. This broad business portfolio allows investors to benefit from Microsoft’s continued innovation, market leadership, and resilience in different economic conditions.
Moreover, the tech giant’s solid financial position and cash flow generation provide stability and potential for dividend growth, making it extremely attractive to income-focused investors seeking stable returns. In addition, MSFT’s strategic partnerships and acquisitions may create opportunities for investors to capitalize on synergies, expansion into new markets, and completive advantages.
In October 2023, Microsoft completed the acquisition of Activision Blizzard, a well-known video game publisher. This deal provides MSFT with a hefty portfolio of video game franchises, including Call of Duty, Crash Bandicoot, StarCraft, and Warcraft. This acquisition aligns with the company’s strategic focus on gaming and positions it for long-term growth and leadership in the gaming industry.
Talking about the ripple effects of Microsoft’s milestone, competitors may intensify their efforts to innovate, compete, or collaborate with the company in response to its market dominance and strategic moves. Consumers may benefit considerably from increased competition and enhanced accessibility of innovative tech products and services, boosting further tech adoption in daily life.
Also, policymakers may scrutinize large tech firms’ market power, data privacy practices, and potential antitrust concerns, shaping regulatory frameworks and industry dynamics.
Now, let’s discuss several factors that could impact MSFT’s performance in the near term:
Continued Progress In AI
“We’ve moved from talking about AI to applying AI at scale,” Satya Nadella, chairman and CEO of Microsoft, said in the last earnings release. “By infusing AI across every layer of our tech stack, we’re winning new customers and helping drive new benefits and productivity gains across every sector.”
Over the past year, Microsoft has made significant advancements in integrating AI into its products and tools.
In January 2023, Microsoft announced a multiyear, multibillion-dollar investment with ChatGPT-maker OpenAI. The deal marked the third phase of the partnership between the two companies after MSFT’s previous investments in 2019 and 2021. The renewed partnership would accelerate breakthroughs in AI and help the companies commercialize advanced technologies in the future.
“We formed our partnership with OpenAI around a shared ambition to responsibly advance cutting-edge AI research and democratize AI as a new technology platform,” said CEO Satya Nadella.
In February, MSFT launched an AI-powered Bing search engine and Edge browser with built-in support for OpenAI’s ChatGPT to help people get more from search and the web. The new Bing search version could deliver better searches, more accurate answers, a new chat experience, and the ability to generate content.
In March, the company further announced the addition of AI tools to its Office productivity applications and introduced a feature called Microsoft 365 Copilot. The Copilot feature uses next-gen AI to automate and simplify tasks and offer suggestions. Starting September 26, Copilot begins to roll out its early form as part of its free update to Windows 11.
Beginning November 1, Microsoft 365 Copilot is generally available for enterprise customers, along with Microsoft 365 Chat. Also, this AI-powered Copilot is added to the company’s cybersecurity offerings and GitHub service for software developers.
On November 8, Microsoft-owned GitHub introduced a Copilot assistant that can assist developers in working with their employers’ internal code, priced at $39 per person a month. This new launch might help the company boost profitability in its cloud business unit by taking advantage of its partner OpenAI’s technology.
On November 15, the tech giant debuted its first custom AI chip. At its Ignite conference, MSFT said the chip, Maia 100, is the first in its planned Azure Maia AI accelerator series. In addition to the Maia 100, the company introduced its first custom Arm-based Azure Cobalt, a cloud-native chip optimized for performance, power efficiency and cost-effectiveness for general-purpose workloads.
The chip will be used for cloud-based training and inferencing for AI models. With these chips, Microsoft is on par with rivals Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) and Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN), which have also developed their custom chips to run competing cloud platforms. MSFT added that it partnered with ChatGPT developer OpenAI to test its Maia 100 accelerator and will use those lessons to build future chips.
On January 11, 2024, Microsoft announced new generative AI and data solutions and capabilities for retailers. The company offers personalized shopping experiences through copilot templates on Azure OpenAI Service, retail data solutions in Microsoft Fabric, copilot features in Microsoft Dynamics 365 Customer Insights, and the Retail Media Creative Studio.
Robust Last Reported Financials
For the fiscal 2024 second quarter that ended December 31, 2023, MSFT reported total revenue of $62.02 billion, surpassing the analysts’ estimate of $61.13 billion. That was up 17.6% from the previous year’s quarter.
Microsoft’s Intelligent Cloud segment generated $25.88 billion in revenue, an increase of 20.3% year-over-year. The division comprises Azure, public cloud, SQL Server, Nuance, Windows Server, GitHub, and enterprise services. Within the segment, revenue from Azure and other cloud services rose 30%.
Six points of the Azure and other cloud services growth were tied to AI, Amy Hood, MSFT’s finance chief, said on a conference call with analysts.
Also, MSFT’s Productivity and Business Processes segment posted revenue of $18.59 billion, up 13.2% year-over-year. This business unit includes Microsoft 365 productivity app subscriptions, LinkedIn, and Dynamics enterprise software. The More Personal Computing segment contributed $16.89 billion in revenue, an increase of 18.6%.
The software company’s gross margin rose 20.2% from the year-ago value to $42.40 billion. Its operating income increased 32.5% year-over-year to $27.03 billion. Its net income grew 33.2% from the prior year’s period to $21.87 billion. Microsoft posted earnings per share of $2.93, compared to the consensus estimate of $2.20, and up 33.2% year-over-year.
Furthermore, cash inflows from operations came in at $18.85 billion for the second quarter, an increase of 68.7% year-over-year. As of December 31, 2023, MSFT’s total assets amounted to $470.56 billion, compared to $411.98 billion as of June 30, 2023.
For the fiscal 2024 third quarter, Microsoft expects revenue between $60 billion and $61 billion. The company sees lower-than-expected revenue and operating expenses during the quarter.
Impressive Historical Growth
Over the past three years, MSFT’s revenue grew at a CAGR of 14.1%. Its EBITDA and net income improved at respective CAGRs of 18.1% and 17.2% over the same period. In addition, the company’s EPS increased at a CAGR of 18.1% over the same timeframe, and its levered free cash flow improved at 18.9% CAGR.
Furthermore, the company’s total assets increased at a CAGR of 15.7% over the same period.
Attractive Dividend
On November 28, 2023, MSFT’s Board of Directors approved a quarterly cash dividend of $0.75 per share on the company’s common stock. The dividend is payable on March 14, 2024, to shareholders of record on February 15, 2024. The company pays an annual dividend of $3, translating to a yield of 0.71% at the current share price.
Moreover, MSFT’s dividend payouts have increased at a CAGR of 10.2% over the past five years. Microsoft has raised its dividends for 19 consecutive years.
Optimistic Analyst Estimates
Analysts expect MSFT’s revenue for the third quarter (ending March 2024) to increase 15.2% year-over-year to $60.87 billion. The consensus EPS estimate of $2.83 for the current quarter indicates an improvement of 15.5% year-over-year. Moreover, the company has topped consensus revenue and EPS estimates in all the trailing four quarters, which is remarkable.
For the fiscal year ending June 2024, Street expects Microsoft’s revenue and EPS to grow 15.3% and 19.2% year-over-year to $244.23 billion and $11.69, respectively. Also, the software maker’s revenue and EPS for the fiscal year 2025 are expected to increase 14.2% and 13.7% from the previous year to $278.98 billion and $13.29, respectively.
Solid Profitability
MSFT’s trailing-12-month gross profit margin of 69.81% is 43.2% higher than the 48.76% industry average. Likewise, the stock’s trailing-12-month EBIT margin and net income margin of 44.59% and 36.27% are considerably higher than the industry averages of 4.74% and 2.23%, respectively.
Moreover, the stock’s trailing-12-month ROCE, ROTC, and ROTA of 39.17%, 20.77% and 17.54% favorably compared to the respective industry averages of 1.99%, 2.44%, and 0.80%. Also, its trailing-12-month levered FCF margin of 25.78% is 183.4% higher than the industry average of 9.10%.
Analysts Raised Their Microsoft Price Targets
Several Wall Street analysts have raised their price targets on MSFT’s stock. D.A. Davidson analyst Gil Luria added $85 to his Microsoft price target, taking it to a Wall Street high of $500 per share. He seems impressed by the company’s near-term guidance, which highlighted “increasing demand for Microsoft Cloud as well as positive margin expansion even with increasing capital expenditures related to the build-out of their AI infrastructure.”
“Microsoft has continued to show they are a strong share gainer in this new AI landscape, which is largely driven by the company’s ability to build compelling generative AI applications throughout their product suite as well as capture new AI-related workloads on Azure,” said Luria.
Meanwhile, CFRA analyst Angel Zino increased the MSFT price target by $35 to $455 a share, citing in part the value created for the company’s Office 365 division with the addition of AI assistant Copilot.
Wolfe Research analyst Alex Zukin reiterated a Buy rating on MSFT on January 30 and set a price target of $510. Alex Zubin has given Microsoft a Buy rating due to several factors, including its strong financial performance and promising growth in key areas.
Further, Jefferies analyst Brent Thill maintained their bullish stance on MSFT stock, giving it a Buy rating on January 26. Thill points to the tech giant’s expected year-over-year constant currency growth, which is projected to grow from 12% to 15%, suggesting that it is poised to achieve these targets with the aid of Activision Blizzard’s contributions.
Additionally, Thill believes that Microsoft is well-poised to benefit from the rising emphasis on AI, which is coupled with favorable cloud trends, underpinning the stock’s upside potential.
Bottom Line
MSFT beat on the top and bottom lines in the second quarter of fiscal 2024, driven by growth in intelligent cloud business. Microsoft has led groundbreaking advances such as partnership with OpenAI and the integration of ChatGPT capabilities into products and tools used to search, collaborate, work, and learn.
Further, as MSFT accelerates into AI, it is rethinking cloud infrastructure to ensure optimization across every layer of the hardware and software stack. The company’s commitment to innovations across various segments like AI, edge computing, and mixed reality positions it for long-term growth and market leadership.
Gartner forecasts worldwide software spending to reach $1.03 trillion in 2024, an increase of 12.7% year-over-year. Robust spending on software among individuals and enterprises will be a primary tailwind for Microsoft. The company’s focus on providing solutions for digital transformation, including AI, cloud-based, cybersecurity, and collaboration tools, aligns with the evolving needs of businesses seeking to modernize their operations.
Moreover, the software maker’s solid financial position, including consistent revenue growth and strong cash flow generation, provides it with enhanced flexibility for strategic investments, acquisitions, and returning value to shareholders via dividends and share buybacks.
Driven by optimism surrounding its AI potential, MSFT’s shares have surged more than 50% over the past 12 months.
Microsoft dethroned Apple as the world’s most valuable company ever, ending last week with a market cap of $3.125. Amid MSFT’s record valuation, investors may adopt different strategies to navigate the market dynamics and capitalize on potential opportunities. Long-term investors may choose to maintain their positions in MSFT, leveraging its solid fundamentals and growth prospects.
In addition, income-focused investors may find Microsoft appealing for its attractive dividend payouts and potential for dividend growth. Tactical traders can also take advantage of short-term trading opportunities in this stock, capitalizing on market sentiment, technical indicators, or macroeconomic trends.

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